UEFA Europa League

Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

82% confidence

Universitatea Craiova 81.5% Draw 11.1% Ararat-Armenia 7.4%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Universitatea Craiova: 11 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.5%

Exact-score model probability

Universitatea Craiova

W D D L W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

Ararat-Armenia

L W L W L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Universitatea Craiova win81.5%

Draw11.1%

Ararat-Armenia win7.4%

Over 1.5 goals96.0%

Over 2.5 goals86.5%

Over 3.5 goals71.8%

Both teams to score68.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Home

91.3%

Home or Draw (1X)

90.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home91.3%

Home or Draw (1X)90.9%

Home or Away (12)88.5%

Both Halves Over 0.583.0%

Goal in Both Halves83.0%

Home Win80.8%

Draw or Away (X2)17.8%

Draw10.1%

Draw No Bet - Away8.7%

Away Win7.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals94.2%

Over 2.5 Goals85.3%

Over 3.5 Goals70.8%

4+ Goals70.8%

Under 5.5 Goals64.6%

Over 4.5 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Under 4.5 Goals47.1%

2-4 Goals41.3%

Over 5.5 Goals35.4%

3-4 Goals32.4%

Under 3.5 Goals29.2%

1-3 Goals27.1%

2-3 Goals23.5%

Under 2.5 Goals14.7%

Exactly 3 Goals14.6%

1-2 Goals12.5%

Exactly 2 Goals8.9%

Under 1.5 Goals5.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

Away Team to Score68.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.8%

Home Clean Sheet29.7%

Home Win to Nil29.0%

Away Clean Sheet2.5%

Away Win to Nil1.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.1%

Home Over 2.570.2%

Home 3+ Goals70.2%

Away Over 0.568.9%

Away Exactly 135.6%

Away Over 1.533.3%

Away Exactly 029.7%

Away Exactly 221.4%

Home Exactly 216.9%

Away Over 2.511.9%

Away 3+ Goals11.9%

Home Exactly 19.1%

Home Exactly 02.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)82.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away82.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)80.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)68.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away68.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)65.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home65.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)51.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away51.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)47.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home47.0%

Home to win by 3+47.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)33.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away33.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)29.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home29.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 218.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away17.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home16.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.5%

Home to win by 115.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.0%

Away to win by 15.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.9%

Away to win by 21.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.8%

Away to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.573.0%

BTTS & Over 2.563.9%

Home & BTTS51.8%

Home & No BTTS29.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.521.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Draw & BTTS9.4%

Home & Under 2.57.8%

Away & Over 2.56.3%

Draw & Over 2.56.1%

Away & BTTS6.0%

Draw & Under 2.54.0%

BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Away & No BTTS1.7%

Away & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.0%

HT Home Win65.0%

HT Over 1.564.7%

HT/FT Home/Home61.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Under 1.535.3%

HT Both Teams Score33.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw23.4%

Equal Goals Each Half18.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.3%

HT Away Win11.6%

HT Under 0.511.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.5%

HT/FT Away/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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