UEFA Europa Conference League

Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Kick-off 21:00 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Universitatea Craiova 59.3% Draw 18.9% Egnatia Rrogozhinë 21.8%

Over 2.5 - 82% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 6 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.5%

Exact-score model probability

Universitatea Craiova

L D W D D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.17

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

D D W L D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 12:10 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Universitatea Craiova win59.3%

Draw18.9%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë win21.8%

Over 1.5 goals94.4%

Over 2.5 goals82.1%

Over 3.5 goals65.0%

Both teams to score77.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

88.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.3%

Both Halves Over 0.579.1%

Goal in Both Halves79.1%

Home or Draw (1X)77.3%

Draw No Bet - Home72.7%

Home Win59.9%

Draw or Away (X2)39.9%

Draw No Bet - Away27.3%

Away Win22.5%

Draw17.4%

Exactly 1 Goal5.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.5%

Over 2.5 Goals82.0%

Under 5.5 Goals71.2%

Over 3.5 Goals64.9%

4+ Goals64.9%

Under 4.5 Goals54.2%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals47.7%

Over 4.5 Goals45.8%

3-4 Goals36.2%

Under 3.5 Goals35.1%

1-3 Goals33.8%

Over 5.5 Goals28.8%

2-3 Goals28.6%

Under 2.5 Goals18.0%

Exactly 3 Goals17.1%

1-2 Goals16.7%

Exactly 2 Goals11.5%

Under 1.5 Goals6.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.4%

Away Team to Score81.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.6%

Home Clean Sheet18.2%

Home Win to Nil17.1%

Away Clean Sheet6.3%

Away Win to Nil5.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.4%

Away Over 0.581.5%

Home Over 1.576.0%

Home Over 2.551.9%

Home 3+ Goals51.9%

Away Over 1.550.6%

Away Exactly 131.0%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Away Over 2.524.2%

Away 3+ Goals24.2%

Home Exactly 224.1%

Away Exactly 018.2%

Home Exactly 117.5%

Home Exactly 06.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away59.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)40.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home40.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)39.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away39.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)23.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home23.5%

Home to win by 3+23.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 119.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.9%

Home to win by 216.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.0%

Away to win by 112.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.4%

Away to win by 26.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.1%

Away to win by 3+4.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.9%

Home & Over 2.552.3%

Home & BTTS42.8%

Away & Over 2.518.8%

Away & BTTS17.3%

Home & No BTTS17.1%

Draw & BTTS16.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.0%

Draw & Over 2.510.9%

Home & Under 2.57.6%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Away & No BTTS5.2%

Away & Under 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.6%

HT Over 1.559.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.6%

HT Home Win47.5%

HT Under 1.540.4%

HT/FT Home/Home40.3%

HT Both Teams Score38.0%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.6%

HT Away Win22.9%

Equal Goals Each Half19.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.0%

HT Under 0.513.4%

HT/FT Away/Away13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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