UEFA Europa Conference League

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe

Kick-off 17:45 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

88% confidence

Universitatea Craiova 87.7% Draw 10.4% Getafe 1.9%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 25%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

88%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 17.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Universitatea Craiova: 6 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17.8%

Exact-score model probability

Universitatea Craiova

L D W D D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.17

Getafe

L D L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:7 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Universitatea Craiova win87.7%

Draw10.4%

Getafe win1.9%

Over 1.5 goals81.5%

Over 2.5 goals59.1%

Over 3.5 goals36.6%

Both teams to score24.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.2%

Home or Away (12)

90.4%

Home Win

88.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)97.4%

Draw No Bet - Home97.4%

Home or Away (12)90.4%

Home Win88.0%

Both Halves Over 0.561.0%

Goal in Both Halves61.0%

Exactly 1 Goal14.3%

Draw or Away (X2)11.8%

Draw9.4%

Draw No Bet - Away2.6%

Away Win2.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.1%

Under 5.5 Goals91.2%

Over 1.5 Goals80.8%

Under 4.5 Goals80.6%

Under 3.5 Goals63.5%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals58.9%

1-3 Goals58.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals44.3%

Under 2.5 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals39.5%

Over 3.5 Goals36.5%

4+ Goals36.5%

1-2 Goals36.2%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.9%

Over 4.5 Goals19.4%

Under 1.5 Goals19.2%

Over 5.5 Goals8.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.9%

Exactly 0 Goals4.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.8%

Home Clean Sheet73.9%

Home Win to Nil69.3%

Away Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)24.2%

Away Clean Sheet6.3%

Away Win to Nil1.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.5%

Home Over 1.576.1%

Away Exactly 073.9%

Home Over 2.552.0%

Home 3+ Goals52.0%

Away Over 0.525.9%

Home Exactly 224.1%

Away Exactly 122.2%

Home Exactly 117.4%

Home Exactly 06.3%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home97.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)88.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away87.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)74.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away74.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)69.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home69.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)54.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away54.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)45.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home45.7%

Home to win by 3+45.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)30.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away30.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)25.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home25.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw23.3%

Home to win by 223.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw20.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.0%

Home to win by 119.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away11.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.1%

Away to win by 12.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 20.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS69.3%

Home & Over 2.557.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.538.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.0%

Home & Under 2.530.7%

BTTS & Over 2.520.4%

Home & BTTS18.7%

Draw & Under 2.58.5%

Draw & BTTS4.7%

BTTS & Under 2.53.9%

Away & Under 2.51.6%

Away & No BTTS1.6%

Draw & Over 2.50.9%

Away & Over 2.50.8%

Away & BTTS0.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.8%

HT Home Win66.5%

HT/FT Home/Home65.1%

HT Under 1.559.9%

2nd Half More Goals44.8%

HT Over 1.540.1%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Draw29.6%

HT Under 0.525.2%

Equal Goals Each Half23.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.5%

HT Both Teams Score9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.9%

HT Away Win3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

HT/FT Away/Away1.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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