UEFA Europa League

Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

72% confidence

Universitatea Craiova 72.0% Draw 18.0% KuPS 10.0%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

High scoring rate

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Form advantage

80%

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Universitatea Craiova has a form advantage with 2 wins in their last 5 matches. KuPS is in poor form with 1 win in their last 5 matches. The home team has a high scoring rate with 1.6 goals per game. The away team has a low scoring rate with 1 goal per game. With Universitatea Craiova's strong attack, they are likely to score. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring rate of Universitatea Craiova.

💡

Top Tip

Over 1

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 88.1% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring rate

Recent form leans to Universitatea Craiova: 8 points versus 4 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.60 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

88.1%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Universitatea Craiova high-scoring games

40%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

KuPS high-scoring games

20%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Universitatea Craiova

D D L W W

Form 2-2-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 1

KuPS

D L L L W

Form 1-1-3 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.4

Head to head · last 1

Universitatea Craiova 0wins ·1 draws ·KuPS 0wins

Universitatea Craiova 1-1 KuPSAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Universitatea Craiova win72.0%

Draw18.0%

KuPS win10.0%

Over 1.5 goals88.1%

Over 2.5 goals69.7%

Over 3.5 goals47.9%

Both teams to score59.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

87.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

87.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.4%

Draw No Bet - Home85.1%

Home or Away (12)83.6%

Home Win71.2%

Both Halves Over 0.568.8%

Goal in Both Halves68.8%

Draw or Away (X2)28.7%

Draw16.2%

Draw No Bet - Away14.9%

Away Win12.5%

Exactly 1 Goal10.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals87.1%

Under 5.5 Goals84.9%

Under 4.5 Goals71.2%

Over 2.5 Goals69.2%

2-4 Goals58.3%

Under 3.5 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.2%

Over 3.5 Goals47.8%

4+ Goals47.8%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.2%

Under 2.5 Goals30.8%

Over 4.5 Goals28.8%

1-2 Goals27.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.9%

Over 5.5 Goals15.1%

Under 1.5 Goals12.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.3%

Away Team to Score63.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.7%

Home Clean Sheet36.7%

Home Win to Nil33.9%

Away Clean Sheet7.6%

Away Win to Nil4.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.3%

Home Over 1.572.7%

Away Over 0.563.1%

Home Over 2.547.4%

Home 3+ Goals47.4%

Away Exactly 036.7%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Over 1.526.4%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Home Exactly 119.6%

Away Exactly 218.4%

Away Over 2.58.0%

Away 3+ Goals8.0%

Home Exactly 07.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)71.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)70.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away70.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)50.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away50.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)49.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home49.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home29.4%

Home to win by 3+29.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)28.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away28.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.5%

Home to win by 121.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 220.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.3%

Away to win by 18.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 23.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.554.7%

BTTS & Over 2.551.1%

Home & BTTS37.2%

Home & No BTTS33.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.1%

Home & Under 2.516.5%

Draw & BTTS13.4%

Draw & Under 2.510.0%

Away & Over 2.58.3%

Away & BTTS7.7%

BTTS & Under 2.57.2%

Draw & Over 2.56.2%

Away & No BTTS4.8%

Away & Under 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.0%

HT Home Win53.8%

HT Under 1.552.2%

HT/FT Home/Home48.9%

HT Over 1.547.8%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

HT Draw31.9%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score24.9%

Equal Goals Each Half21.7%

HT Under 0.520.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.6%

HT Away Win14.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.7%

HT/FT Away/Away6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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