UEFA Champions League

Universitatea Craiova vs Levski Sofia

Kick-off 18:30 · Wed, Jul 29

📊 Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)

50% confidence

Universitatea Craiova 18.0% Draw 32.0% Levski Sofia 50.0%

Over 2.5 - 32% BTTS - 37%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Away team dominance

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 51%

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 2.5 Goals

Defensive strength

70%

Away Team to Score

Levski Sofia form

65%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Universitatea Craiova trails Levski Sofia in form and head-to-head. Levski Sofia's strong defense and recent wins give them an edge. Key players like their star striker will impact the game. The home team's limited scoring ability is a concern.

💡

Top Tip

Draw or Away is the safest bet given Levski Sofia's recent performance

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

X2 · Draw or Away covers 82% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 18.0% on the only losing outcome.

Away team dominance

Recent form leans to Levski Sofia: 6 points versus 7 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Draw or Away (X2)

X2 · Draw or Away

82%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

18%

Only the uncovered result loses

Bookmaker implied chance

51%

Market does not fully agree

Universitatea Craiova

L W W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 5:2 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.67

Levski Sofia

W W D

Form 2-1-0 Goals 6:1 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.33

Head to head · last 1

Universitatea Craiova 0wins ·0 draws ·Levski Sofia 1wins

Universitatea Craiova 0-1 Levski SofiaJul 22, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Universitatea Craiova win18.0%

Draw32.0%

Levski Sofia win50.0%

Over 1.5 goals60.2%

Over 2.5 goals31.8%

Over 3.5 goals13.8%

Both teams to score36.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.4%

Under 3.5 Goals

86.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)82.1%

Draw No Bet - Away75.0%

Home or Away (12)71.4%

Away Win53.6%

Home or Draw (1X)46.4%

Both Halves Over 0.538.9%

Goal in Both Halves38.9%

Draw28.5%

Exactly 1 Goal27.4%

Draw No Bet - Home25.0%

Home Win17.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.4%

Under 4.5 Goals95.0%

Under 3.5 Goals86.2%

Over 0.5 Goals86.1%

1-3 Goals72.3%

Under 2.5 Goals68.4%

Over 1.5 Goals58.6%

1-2 Goals54.5%

2-4 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even51.0%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

2-3 Goals44.9%

Under 1.5 Goals41.4%

Over 2.5 Goals31.6%

Exactly 2 Goals27.1%

3-4 Goals26.6%

Exactly 3 Goals17.8%

Under 0.5 Goals13.9%

Exactly 0 Goals13.9%

Over 3.5 Goals13.8%

4+ Goals13.8%

Over 4.5 Goals5.0%

Over 5.5 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score73.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)65.2%

Away Clean Sheet52.8%

Home Team to Score47.2%

Away Win to Nil38.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)34.8%

Home Clean Sheet26.4%

Home Win to Nil12.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.573.6%

Home Exactly 052.8%

Home Over 0.547.2%

Away Over 1.538.5%

Away Exactly 135.1%

Home Exactly 133.7%

Away Exactly 026.4%

Away Exactly 223.4%

Away Over 2.515.1%

Away 3+ Goals15.1%

Home Over 1.513.5%

Home Exactly 210.8%

Home Over 2.52.7%

Home 3+ Goals2.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away82.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)46.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home46.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw27.7%

Away to win by 127.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.3%

Away to win by 216.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.3%

Home to win by 113.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.6%

Away to win by 3+9.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.7%

Home to win by 23.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.9%

Home to win by 3+0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.556.6%

Away & No BTTS38.9%

Away & Under 2.530.9%

Draw & Under 2.525.8%

BTTS & Over 2.522.9%

Away & Over 2.522.7%

Away & BTTS14.7%

Draw & BTTS14.6%

Home & No BTTS12.5%

BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

Home & Under 2.511.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Home & Over 2.56.1%

Home & BTTS5.4%

Draw & Over 2.52.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.577.7%

HT Over 0.558.8%

HT Draw48.6%

HT Under 0.541.2%

2nd Half More Goals39.7%

HT Away Win36.5%

HT/FT Away/Away32.0%

Equal Goals Each Half30.9%

1st Half More Goals29.4%

HT Over 1.522.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw20.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.9%

HT Home Win14.9%

HT Both Teams Score11.3%

HT/FT Home/Home9.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Universitatea Craiova win10%

Draw45%

Levski Sofia win45%

AdviceCombo Double chance : draw or Levski Sofia and -3.5 goals

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions