Netherlands · Eredivisie

Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle

Full time · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

Utrecht 63.5% Draw 21.3% PEC Zwolle 15.1%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%

✓ Pick was correct (1:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 5.4%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Utrecht: 9 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.4%

Exact-score model probability

Utrecht

W W L W L L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:17 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.83

PEC Zwolle

W L L L D L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 7:17 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.83

Head to head · last 5

Utrecht 3wins ·2 draws ·PEC Zwolle 0wins

Utrecht 1-1 PEC ZwolleFeb 22, 2026

Utrecht 2-0 PEC ZwolleAug 31, 2025

Utrecht 3-3 PEC ZwolleFeb 1, 2025

Utrecht 1-0 PEC ZwolleAug 11, 2024

Utrecht 5-1 PEC ZwolleApr 3, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Utrecht win63.5%

Draw21.3%

PEC Zwolle win15.1%

Over 1.5 goals85.1%

Over 2.5 goals97.5%

Over 3.5 goals41.7%

Both teams to score94.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

90.8%

Both Halves Over 0.5

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.7%

Goal in Both Halves88.7%

Home or Away (12)82.5%

Home or Draw (1X)63.2%

Draw No Bet - Home56.1%

Draw or Away (X2)53.1%

Home Win46.3%

Draw No Bet - Away43.9%

Away Win36.2%

Draw16.9%

Exactly 1 Goal1.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals97.3%

Over 2.5 Goals92.1%

Over 3.5 Goals82.2%

4+ Goals82.2%

Over 4.5 Goals67.8%

Over 5.5 Goals51.2%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 5.5 Goals48.8%

Under 4.5 Goals32.2%

2-4 Goals29.4%

3-4 Goals24.3%

Under 3.5 Goals17.8%

1-3 Goals16.9%

2-3 Goals15.1%

Exactly 3 Goals9.9%

Under 2.5 Goals7.9%

1-2 Goals6.9%

Exactly 2 Goals5.2%

Under 1.5 Goals2.7%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.6%

Away Team to Score92.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.5%

Home Clean Sheet6.5%

Home Win to Nil6.2%

Away Clean Sheet4.7%

Away Win to Nil4.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.6%

Away Over 0.592.9%

Home Over 1.580.2%

Away Over 1.575.2%

Home Over 2.558.2%

Home 3+ Goals58.2%

Away Over 2.551.0%

Away 3+ Goals51.0%

Away Exactly 224.2%

Home Exactly 222.0%

Away Exactly 117.7%

Home Exactly 114.4%

Away Exactly 06.5%

Home Exactly 04.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)63.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home63.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)36.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)30.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home30.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.2%

Home to win by 3+17.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.2%

Home to win by 116.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.5%

Away to win by 114.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.9%

Home to win by 212.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.4%

Away to win by 3+11.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.3%

Away to win by 210.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.585.9%

Home & Over 2.543.9%

Home & BTTS40.1%

Away & Over 2.534.2%

Away & BTTS31.8%

Draw & BTTS16.6%

Draw & Over 2.514.0%

Home & No BTTS6.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Away & No BTTS4.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.9%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Away & Under 2.52.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.6%

HT Over 1.573.3%

HT Both Teams Score52.8%

2nd Half More Goals51.0%

HT Home Win40.2%

HT Away Win33.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Home/Home30.5%

HT Under 1.526.7%

HT Draw26.3%

HT/FT Away/Away23.0%

Equal Goals Each Half16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.1%

HT Under 0.57.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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