Netherlands · Eredivisie

Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven

Kick-off 11:15 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Utrecht 26.1% Draw 22.1% PSV Eindhoven 51.7%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 96%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is PSV Eindhoven win at 51.7%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to PSV Eindhoven: 8 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Utrecht win

26.1%

1X2 model probability

Draw

22.1%

1X2 model probability

PSV Eindhoven win

51.7%

1X2 model probability

Utrecht

D L L D W W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:11 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.83

PSV Eindhoven

W W D W W D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 20:8 Scored/game 3.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

Utrecht 0wins ·2 draws ·PSV Eindhoven 3wins

Utrecht 3-4 PSV EindhovenApr 4, 2026

Utrecht 1-2 PSV EindhovenDec 21, 2025

Utrecht 2-2 PSV EindhovenFeb 15, 2025

Utrecht 2-5 PSV EindhovenDec 1, 2024

Utrecht 1-1 PSV EindhovenJan 21, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Utrecht win26.1%

Draw22.1%

PSV Eindhoven win51.7%

Over 1.5 goals90.0%

Over 2.5 goals98.3%

Over 3.5 goals52.4%

Both teams to score95.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.592.1%

Goal in Both Halves92.1%

Home or Away (12)83.2%

Draw or Away (X2)68.9%

Draw No Bet - Away64.6%

Away Win53.8%

Home or Draw (1X)44.7%

Draw No Bet - Home35.4%

Home Win29.5%

Draw15.2%

Exactly 1 Goal1.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals97.3%

Over 2.5 Goals94.2%

Over 3.5 Goals87.3%

4+ Goals87.3%

Over 4.5 Goals76.2%

Over 5.5 Goals61.8%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Under 5.5 Goals38.2%

Under 4.5 Goals23.8%

2-4 Goals21.1%

3-4 Goals17.9%

Under 3.5 Goals12.7%

1-3 Goals10.9%

2-3 Goals10.0%

Exactly 3 Goals6.8%

Under 2.5 Goals5.8%

1-2 Goals4.1%

Exactly 2 Goals3.1%

Under 1.5 Goals2.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.9%

Home Team to Score92.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.7%

Away Clean Sheet5.8%

Away Win to Nil5.6%

Home Clean Sheet2.5%

Home Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 0.592.6%

Away Over 1.586.6%

Home Over 1.576.3%

Away Over 2.569.6%

Away 3+ Goals69.6%

Home Over 2.553.0%

Home 3+ Goals53.0%

Home Exactly 223.3%

Away Exactly 217.0%

Home Exactly 116.4%

Away Exactly 19.3%

Home Exactly 05.8%

Away Exactly 02.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home92.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home85.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)74.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home74.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)68.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away68.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)60.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home60.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)44.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home44.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)37.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away37.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)29.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)23.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away23.8%

Away to win by 3+23.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.9%

Away to win by 115.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.1%

Away to win by 214.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away13.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.2%

Home to win by 112.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.9%

Home to win by 3+8.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.4%

Home to win by 28.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.7%

Away & Over 2.552.2%

Away & BTTS48.1%

Home & Over 2.528.5%

Home & BTTS27.1%

Draw & BTTS15.0%

Draw & Over 2.513.5%

Away & No BTTS5.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.7%

Home & No BTTS2.4%

Draw & Under 2.51.7%

Away & Under 2.51.5%

BTTS & Under 2.51.5%

Home & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.7%

HT Over 1.579.1%

HT Both Teams Score58.3%

2nd Half More Goals52.1%

HT Away Win46.3%

HT/FT Away/Away37.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win29.6%

HT Draw24.1%

HT Under 1.520.9%

HT/FT Home/Home18.5%

Equal Goals Each Half15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.2%

HT/FT Home/Away6.1%

HT Under 0.55.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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