Spain · La Liga

Valencia vs Real Betis

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Aug 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Valencia 37.5% Draw 26.7% Real Betis 35.7%

Over 2.5 - 46% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

75%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7.3%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Real Betis: 11 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.3%

Exact-score model probability

Valencia

D W W D W L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Real Betis

W W L W D W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 11:7 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Valencia 1wins ·2 draws ·Real Betis 2wins

Valencia 1-2 Real BetisFeb 1, 2026

Valencia 1-1 Real BetisNov 9, 2025

Valencia 1-1 Real BetisMay 23, 2025

Valencia 4-2 Real BetisNov 23, 2024

Valencia 1-2 Real BetisApr 20, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Valencia win37.5%

Draw26.7%

Real Betis win35.7%

Over 1.5 goals71.7%

Over 2.5 goals46.2%

Over 3.5 goals24.7%

Both teams to score82.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

89.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.8%

Both Halves Over 0.576.6%

Goal in Both Halves76.6%

Home or Draw (1X)60.6%

Draw or Away (X2)59.4%

Draw No Bet - Home50.7%

Draw No Bet - Away49.3%

Home Win40.5%

Away Win39.3%

Draw20.1%

Exactly 1 Goal6.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals92.2%

Over 2.5 Goals79.1%

Under 5.5 Goals75.1%

Over 3.5 Goals60.7%

4+ Goals60.7%

Under 4.5 Goals58.8%

2-4 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Over 4.5 Goals41.2%

Under 3.5 Goals39.3%

3-4 Goals37.9%

1-3 Goals37.8%

2-3 Goals31.6%

Over 5.5 Goals24.9%

Under 2.5 Goals20.9%

1-2 Goals19.3%

Exactly 3 Goals18.4%

Exactly 2 Goals13.1%

Under 1.5 Goals7.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.0%

Away Team to Score87.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.9%

Home Clean Sheet12.3%

Away Clean Sheet12.0%

Home Win to Nil10.9%

Away Win to Nil10.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.0%

Away Over 0.587.6%

Home Over 1.562.6%

Away Over 1.561.8%

Home Over 2.535.6%

Home 3+ Goals35.6%

Away Over 2.534.8%

Away 3+ Goals34.8%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 125.8%

Home Exactly 125.4%

Away Exactly 012.3%

Home Exactly 012.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)22.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home22.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 117.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.4%

Away to win by 117.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.0%

Home to win by 212.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.6%

Away to win by 211.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.9%

Home to win by 3+10.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.3%

Away to win by 3+10.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.5%

Home & Over 2.534.0%

Away & Over 2.533.0%

Home & BTTS29.6%

Away & BTTS28.8%

Draw & BTTS18.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.3%

Draw & Over 2.512.1%

Home & No BTTS10.9%

Away & No BTTS10.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

Draw & Under 2.58.0%

BTTS & Under 2.56.6%

Home & Under 2.56.5%

Away & Under 2.56.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.0%

HT Over 1.556.5%

2nd Half More Goals48.0%

HT Under 1.543.5%

HT Both Teams Score37.5%

HT Home Win34.4%

HT Away Win33.7%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.9%

HT/FT Home/Home25.2%

HT/FT Away/Away24.4%

Equal Goals Each Half19.8%

HT Under 0.515.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away3.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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