UEFA Europa Conference League

Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland

Full time · 0:2

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

79% confidence

Valur Reykjavik 7.0% Draw 13.7% FC Nordsjaelland 79.3%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 56%

✓ Pick was correct (0:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.5%

Exact-score model probability

Valur Reykjavik

D W

Form 1-1-0 Goals 3:2 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

FC Nordsjaelland

W L

Form 1-0-1 Goals 6:1 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Valur Reykjavik win7.0%

Draw13.7%

FC Nordsjaelland win79.3%

Over 1.5 goals90.4%

Over 2.5 goals74.0%

Over 3.5 goals53.7%

Both teams to score55.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

92.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

92.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)92.0%

Draw No Bet - Away91.3%

Home or Away (12)87.4%

Away Win79.7%

Both Halves Over 0.572.6%

Goal in Both Halves72.6%

Home or Draw (1X)19.9%

Draw12.2%

Draw No Bet - Home8.7%

Exactly 1 Goal8.1%

Home Win7.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.5%

Over 1.5 Goals89.4%

Under 5.5 Goals81.0%

Over 2.5 Goals73.7%

Under 4.5 Goals66.0%

2-4 Goals55.4%

Over 3.5 Goals53.5%

4+ Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals46.5%

1-3 Goals44.0%

3-4 Goals39.7%

2-3 Goals35.9%

Over 4.5 Goals34.0%

Under 2.5 Goals26.3%

1-2 Goals23.8%

Exactly 3 Goals20.2%

Over 5.5 Goals19.0%

Exactly 2 Goals15.7%

Under 1.5 Goals10.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.5%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.6%

Home Team to Score57.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)45.3%

Away Clean Sheet42.1%

Away Win to Nil40.0%

Home Clean Sheet5.0%

Home Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.6%

Away Over 1.579.7%

Home Over 0.557.5%

Away Over 2.557.3%

Away 3+ Goals57.3%

Home Exactly 042.1%

Home Exactly 136.3%

Away Exactly 222.4%

Home Over 1.521.3%

Home Exactly 215.6%

Away Exactly 114.9%

Home Over 2.55.7%

Home 3+ Goals5.7%

Away Exactly 05.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away92.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)79.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)76.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home76.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)60.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away60.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)59.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home59.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)40.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away40.1%

Away to win by 3+40.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)38.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home38.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)22.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away22.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.8%

Away to win by 220.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home19.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.8%

Away to win by 118.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away11.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.4%

Home to win by 15.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.7%

Home to win by 21.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.5%

Home to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.564.0%

BTTS & Over 2.549.2%

Away & No BTTS40.0%

Away & BTTS39.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.524.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.5%

Away & Under 2.515.8%

Draw & BTTS10.1%

Draw & Under 2.57.5%

BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Home & Over 2.55.0%

Home & BTTS4.8%

Draw & Over 2.54.7%

Home & No BTTS2.9%

Home & Under 2.52.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.4%

HT Away Win61.4%

HT/FT Away/Away57.8%

HT Over 1.551.8%

HT Under 1.548.2%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw28.1%

HT Both Teams Score23.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.7%

HT Under 0.517.6%

HT Home Win10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.5%

HT/FT Home/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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