USA · Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin

Kick-off 23:30 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

88% confidence

Vancouver Whitecaps 87.5% Draw 8.3% Austin 4.2%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

88%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 7.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Vancouver Whitecaps: 12 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.5%

Exact-score model probability

Vancouver Whitecaps

W L W W L W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 14:4 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Austin

D D W D W L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Vancouver Whitecaps win87.5%

Draw8.3%

Austin win4.2%

Over 1.5 goals96.1%

Over 2.5 goals87.0%

Over 3.5 goals72.4%

Both teams to score61.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

90.5%

Under 10.5 Corners

89.8%

HT Over 0.5

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home95.1%

Home or Draw (1X)93.4%

Home or Away (12)90.5%

Home Win86.0%

Both Halves Over 0.583.5%

Goal in Both Halves83.5%

Draw or Away (X2)11.9%

Draw7.4%

Draw No Bet - Away4.9%

Away Win4.4%

Exactly 1 Goal3.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals93.7%

Over 2.5 Goals85.1%

Over 3.5 Goals70.9%

4+ Goals70.9%

Under 5.5 Goals64.3%

Over 4.5 Goals53.2%

Total Goals Even49.0%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

Under 4.5 Goals46.8%

2-4 Goals40.5%

Over 5.5 Goals35.7%

3-4 Goals31.9%

Under 3.5 Goals29.1%

1-3 Goals26.3%

2-3 Goals22.8%

Under 2.5 Goals14.9%

Exactly 3 Goals14.2%

1-2 Goals12.1%

Exactly 2 Goals8.6%

Under 1.5 Goals6.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score60.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.6%

Home Clean Sheet37.3%

Home Win to Nil36.6%

Away Clean Sheet1.8%

Away Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.588.7%

Home Over 2.574.1%

Home 3+ Goals74.1%

Away Over 0.560.5%

Away Exactly 037.3%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Away Over 1.524.6%

Away Exactly 217.3%

Home Exactly 214.6%

Home Exactly 17.3%

Away Over 2.57.2%

Away 3+ Goals7.2%

Home Exactly 01.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home93.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)86.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)86.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)75.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away75.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)73.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home73.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)60.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away60.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)55.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home55.7%

Home to win by 3+55.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)42.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away42.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)37.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home37.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)24.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away24.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)22.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home22.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.3%

Home to win by 217.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.0%

Home to win by 113.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away11.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home11.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 13.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.0%

Away to win by 21.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.577.6%

BTTS & Over 2.556.7%

Home & BTTS49.4%

Home & No BTTS36.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.528.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Home & Under 2.58.4%

Draw & BTTS6.7%

Draw & Over 2.54.0%

Away & Over 2.53.5%

Draw & Under 2.53.4%

Away & BTTS3.3%

BTTS & Under 2.52.7%

Away & No BTTS1.1%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.3%

HT Home Win70.9%

HT/FT Home/Home68.4%

HT Over 1.565.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.5%

HT Under 1.534.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score29.4%

HT Draw20.8%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.8%

HT Under 0.510.7%

HT Away Win8.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Away2.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners94.5%

Under 10.5 Corners89.8%

Under 9.5 Corners82.6%

Under 8.5 Corners72.4%

Home Most Corners64.0%

Home Over 4.5 Corners42.0%

Over 8.5 Corners27.6%

Away Most Corners22.7%

Over 9.5 Corners17.4%

Away Over 4.5 Corners15.1%

Over 10.5 Corners10.2%

Over 11.5 Corners5.5%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards81.7%

Under 5.5 Cards71.7%

Over 3.5 Cards64.3%

Under 4.5 Cards54.8%

Over 4.5 Cards45.2%

Under 3.5 Cards35.7%

Over 5.5 Cards28.3%

Under 2.5 Cards18.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards17.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions