USA · Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United

Kick-off 03:30 · Sun, Sep 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

82% confidence

Vancouver Whitecaps 81.6% Draw 11.3% DC United 7.1%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

93%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Vancouver Whitecaps: 12 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.8%

Exact-score model probability

Vancouver Whitecaps

W L W L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 16:5 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 0.83

DC United

D W L L D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Vancouver Whitecaps win81.6%

Draw11.3%

DC United win7.1%

Over 1.5 goals95.3%

Over 2.5 goals84.7%

Over 3.5 goals68.9%

Both teams to score66.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Home

91.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

Home or Draw (1X)

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home91.6%

Home or Draw (1X)91.4%

Home or Away (12)88.6%

Both Halves Over 0.581.4%

Goal in Both Halves81.4%

Home Win81.2%

Draw or Away (X2)17.7%

Draw10.2%

Draw No Bet - Away8.4%

Away Win7.4%

Exactly 1 Goal4.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals93.7%

Over 2.5 Goals83.8%

Over 3.5 Goals68.1%

4+ Goals68.1%

Under 5.5 Goals67.8%

Under 4.5 Goals50.4%

Over 4.5 Goals49.6%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

2-4 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals34.1%

Over 5.5 Goals32.2%

Under 3.5 Goals31.9%

1-3 Goals29.9%

2-3 Goals25.6%

Under 2.5 Goals16.2%

Exactly 3 Goals15.7%

1-2 Goals14.2%

Exactly 2 Goals10.0%

Under 1.5 Goals6.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score66.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.3%

Home Clean Sheet32.3%

Home Win to Nil31.4%

Away Clean Sheet2.7%

Away Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.586.2%

Home Over 2.568.5%

Home 3+ Goals68.5%

Away Over 0.566.6%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Away Exactly 032.3%

Away Over 1.530.5%

Away Exactly 220.2%

Home Exactly 217.8%

Away Over 2.510.2%

Away 3+ Goals10.2%

Home Exactly 19.9%

Home Exactly 02.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away83.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)81.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)69.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away69.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)65.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home65.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)52.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away52.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)46.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home46.6%

Home to win by 3+46.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)33.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away33.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home29.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 218.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away17.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 115.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home15.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.9%

Away to win by 14.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.8%

Away to win by 21.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.572.1%

BTTS & Over 2.561.1%

Home & BTTS49.8%

Home & No BTTS31.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.522.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.5%

Draw & BTTS9.4%

Home & Under 2.59.0%

Away & Over 2.55.9%

Draw & Over 2.55.7%

Away & BTTS5.6%

Draw & Under 2.54.5%

BTTS & Under 2.53.6%

Away & No BTTS1.9%

Away & Under 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.0%

HT Home Win64.9%

HT Over 1.562.6%

HT/FT Home/Home61.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.1%

HT Under 1.537.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score31.7%

HT Draw23.9%

Equal Goals Each Half18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.7%

HT Under 0.512.0%

HT Away Win11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Away/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners92.1%

Under 10.5 Corners86.2%

Under 9.5 Corners77.6%

Under 8.5 Corners66.2%

Away Most Corners59.5%

Away Over 4.5 Corners43.6%

Over 8.5 Corners33.8%

Home Most Corners26.9%

Over 9.5 Corners22.4%

Home Over 4.5 Corners21.3%

Over 10.5 Corners13.8%

Over 11.5 Corners7.9%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards80.7%

Under 5.5 Cards73.1%

Over 3.5 Cards62.9%

Under 4.5 Cards56.4%

Over 4.5 Cards43.6%

Under 3.5 Cards37.1%

Over 5.5 Cards26.9%

Under 2.5 Cards19.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards17.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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