USA · Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas

Full time · 5:0

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Vancouver Whitecaps 38.1% Draw 20.5% FC Dallas 41.4%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 82%

✓ Pick was correct (5:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Dallas: 8 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Vancouver Whitecaps

L W D D L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

FC Dallas

W W D L D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Vancouver Whitecaps 1wins ·0 draws ·FC Dallas 0wins

Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 FC DallasMay 14, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Vancouver Whitecaps win38.1%

Draw20.5%

FC Dallas win41.4%

Over 1.5 goals95.1%

Over 2.5 goals83.9%

Over 3.5 goals67.6%

Both teams to score81.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

90.4%

Away Over 0.5

90.4%

Home Team to Score

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.7%

Both Halves Over 0.580.5%

Goal in Both Halves80.5%

Draw or Away (X2)61.2%

Home or Draw (1X)57.8%

Draw No Bet - Away52.1%

Draw No Bet - Home47.9%

Away Win42.0%

Home Win38.7%

Draw19.1%

Exactly 1 Goal4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals94.3%

Over 2.5 Goals83.7%

Under 5.5 Goals68.5%

Over 3.5 Goals67.5%

4+ Goals67.5%

Under 4.5 Goals51.2%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals48.8%

2-4 Goals45.5%

3-4 Goals35.0%

Under 3.5 Goals32.5%

Over 5.5 Goals31.5%

1-3 Goals31.4%

2-3 Goals26.8%

Under 2.5 Goals16.3%

Exactly 3 Goals16.2%

1-2 Goals15.1%

Exactly 2 Goals10.6%

Under 1.5 Goals5.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.4%

Home Team to Score89.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.1%

Away Clean Sheet10.4%

Home Clean Sheet9.5%

Away Win to Nil9.4%

Home Win to Nil8.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.4%

Home Over 0.589.4%

Away Over 1.568.0%

Home Over 1.565.9%

Away Over 2.541.7%

Away 3+ Goals41.7%

Home Over 2.539.2%

Home 3+ Goals39.2%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Home Exactly 123.6%

Away Exactly 122.4%

Home Exactly 010.4%

Away Exactly 09.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)38.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)24.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away24.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)22.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home22.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.3%

Away to win by 117.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 116.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away12.5%

Away to win by 3+12.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.3%

Away to win by 212.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.3%

Home to win by 211.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.8%

Home to win by 3+10.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.575.7%

Away & Over 2.536.9%

Home & Over 2.533.9%

Away & BTTS32.6%

Home & BTTS30.2%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

Draw & Over 2.512.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.8%

Away & No BTTS9.4%

Home & No BTTS8.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.1%

Draw & Under 2.56.3%

BTTS & Under 2.55.3%

Away & Under 2.55.1%

Home & Under 2.54.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.5%

HT Over 1.561.4%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Both Teams Score41.7%

HT Under 1.538.6%

HT Away Win36.0%

HT Home Win33.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw30.2%

HT/FT Away/Away26.6%

HT/FT Home/Home24.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.8%

HT Under 0.512.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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