USA · Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy

Kick-off 03:30 · Thu, Sep 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

Vancouver Whitecaps 67.7% Draw 18.4% Los Angeles Galaxy 13.9%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Vancouver Whitecaps: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Vancouver Whitecaps

L W W L W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 12:5 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.83

Los Angeles Galaxy

W L W L D D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Vancouver Whitecaps 0wins ·1 draws ·Los Angeles Galaxy 0wins

Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Los Angeles GalaxyMay 3, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Vancouver Whitecaps win67.7%

Draw18.4%

Los Angeles Galaxy win13.9%

Over 1.5 goals90.4%

Over 2.5 goals73.5%

Over 3.5 goals53.1%

Both teams to score65.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Cards

91.4%

Over 1.5 Goals

89.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

85.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.0%

Home or Away (12)83.3%

Draw No Bet - Home82.2%

Both Halves Over 0.572.1%

Goal in Both Halves72.1%

Home Win68.4%

Draw or Away (X2)31.4%

Draw No Bet - Away17.8%

Draw16.6%

Away Win14.8%

Exactly 1 Goal8.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals89.3%

Under 5.5 Goals81.3%

Over 2.5 Goals73.4%

Under 4.5 Goals66.4%

2-4 Goals55.7%

Over 3.5 Goals53.1%

4+ Goals53.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals46.9%

1-3 Goals44.6%

3-4 Goals39.8%

2-3 Goals36.3%

Over 4.5 Goals33.6%

Under 2.5 Goals26.6%

1-2 Goals24.3%

Exactly 3 Goals20.3%

Over 5.5 Goals18.7%

Exactly 2 Goals15.9%

Under 1.5 Goals10.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals2.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.7%

Away Team to Score69.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.7%

Home Clean Sheet30.6%

Home Win to Nil28.4%

Away Clean Sheet7.1%

Away Win to Nil4.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.7%

Home Over 1.574.0%

Away Over 0.569.2%

Home Over 2.549.1%

Home 3+ Goals49.1%

Away Exactly 136.2%

Away Over 1.533.0%

Away Exactly 030.6%

Home Exactly 224.8%

Away Exactly 221.4%

Home Exactly 118.8%

Away Over 2.511.6%

Away 3+ Goals11.6%

Home Exactly 07.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.1%

Home to win by 3+28.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.9%

Home to win by 120.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 219.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.3%

Away to win by 19.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.9%

Away to win by 23.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.557.5%

Home & Over 2.555.1%

Home & BTTS40.0%

Home & No BTTS28.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.9%

Draw & BTTS14.4%

Home & Under 2.513.4%

Away & Over 2.510.8%

Away & BTTS9.9%

Draw & Under 2.59.0%

Draw & Over 2.57.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.8%

Away & No BTTS4.9%

Away & Under 2.54.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.1%

HT Home Win52.4%

HT Over 1.551.4%

HT Under 1.548.6%

2nd Half More Goals47.1%

HT/FT Home/Home46.9%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw31.1%

HT Both Teams Score28.7%

Equal Goals Each Half20.9%

HT Under 0.517.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.6%

HT Away Win16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.3%

HT/FT Away/Away8.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners82.3%

Under 10.5 Corners73.0%

Under 9.5 Corners61.5%

Home Most Corners52.7%

Over 8.5 Corners51.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners51.5%

Under 8.5 Corners48.3%

Over 9.5 Corners38.5%

Away Over 4.5 Corners37.9%

Away Most Corners34.0%

Over 10.5 Corners27.0%

Over 11.5 Corners17.7%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards91.4%

Over 3.5 Cards80.3%

Over 4.5 Cards64.9%

Under 5.5 Cards52.2%

Over 5.5 Cards47.8%

Under 4.5 Cards35.1%

Over 0.5 Red Cards22.2%

Under 3.5 Cards19.7%

Under 2.5 Cards8.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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