USA · Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego

Kick-off 03:30 · Thu, Oct 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

67% confidence

Vancouver Whitecaps 66.5% Draw 13.6% San Diego 19.9%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 91%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-2 at 5%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Vancouver Whitecaps: 6 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Vancouver Whitecaps

L W D D L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

San Diego

D D L D L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 11:18 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 3

Head to head · last 1

Vancouver Whitecaps 1wins ·0 draws ·San Diego 0wins

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2 San DiegoMay 24, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Vancouver Whitecaps win66.5%

Draw13.6%

San Diego win19.9%

Over 1.5 goals99.2%

Over 2.5 goals96.2%

Over 3.5 goals89.9%

Both teams to score90.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Over 1.5

89.3%

Away Team to Score

89.2%

Away Over 0.5

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.592.7%

Goal in Both Halves92.7%

Home or Away (12)84.2%

Home or Draw (1X)77.7%

Draw No Bet - Home76.9%

Home Win64.8%

Draw or Away (X2)32.3%

Draw No Bet - Away23.1%

Away Win19.4%

Draw12.9%

Exactly 1 Goal0.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.4%

Over 3.5 Goals87.3%

4+ Goals87.3%

Over 4.5 Goals77.0%

Over 5.5 Goals63.2%

Total Goals Even48.6%

Total Goals Odd48.5%

Under 5.5 Goals36.8%

Under 4.5 Goals23.0%

2-4 Goals19.2%

3-4 Goals16.4%

Under 3.5 Goals12.7%

1-3 Goals9.7%

2-3 Goals8.9%

Under 2.5 Goals6.6%

Exactly 3 Goals6.1%

Under 1.5 Goals3.8%

1-2 Goals3.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 2 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.6%

Away Team to Score89.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)87.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.2%

Home Clean Sheet7.9%

Home Win to Nil7.8%

Away Clean Sheet1.5%

Away Win to Nil1.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.6%

Home Over 1.589.3%

Away Over 0.589.2%

Home Over 2.576.1%

Home 3+ Goals76.1%

Away Over 1.569.4%

Away Over 2.544.5%

Away 3+ Goals44.5%

Away Exactly 224.9%

Away Exactly 119.8%

Home Exactly 213.2%

Away Exactly 07.9%

Home Exactly 16.3%

Home Exactly 01.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)76.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away76.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)63.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away63.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)49.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home49.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)47.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away47.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)34.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home34.0%

Home to win by 3+34.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)32.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away32.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.3%

Home to win by 115.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.2%

Away to win by 19.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.5%

Away to win by 25.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.8%

Away to win by 3+4.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.586.5%

Home & Over 2.563.2%

Home & BTTS57.0%

Away & Over 2.518.7%

Away & BTTS18.1%

Draw & BTTS12.8%

Draw & Over 2.511.5%

Home & No BTTS7.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.4%

Home & Under 2.51.6%

Draw & Under 2.51.4%

Away & No BTTS1.4%

BTTS & Under 2.51.3%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.1%

HT Over 1.580.4%

HT Both Teams Score57.4%

HT Home Win55.1%

2nd Half More Goals52.4%

HT/FT Home/Home48.0%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Away Win22.5%

HT Draw22.4%

HT Under 1.519.6%

Equal Goals Each Half15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.0%

HT/FT Away/Away11.8%

HT/FT Away/Home6.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.0%

HT Under 0.54.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners85.6%

Under 10.5 Corners77.2%

Under 9.5 Corners66.4%

Under 8.5 Corners53.5%

Home Most Corners51.0%

Home Over 4.5 Corners46.8%

Over 8.5 Corners46.5%

Away Over 4.5 Corners35.5%

Away Most Corners35.3%

Over 9.5 Corners33.6%

Over 10.5 Corners22.8%

Over 11.5 Corners14.4%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards83.1%

Under 5.5 Cards69.6%

Over 3.5 Cards66.5%

Under 4.5 Cards52.4%

Over 4.5 Cards47.6%

Under 3.5 Cards33.5%

Over 5.5 Cards30.4%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.2%

Under 2.5 Cards16.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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