USA · Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City

Kick-off 03:30 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

Vancouver Whitecaps 61.0% Draw 18.2% St. Louis City 20.8%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 78%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to St. Louis City: 11 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

Vancouver Whitecaps

W W L W D D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 11:2 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 0.33

St. Louis City

D W D W D W

Form 3-3-0 Goals 11:7 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Vancouver Whitecaps win61.0%

Draw18.2%

St. Louis City win20.8%

Over 1.5 goals95.0%

Over 2.5 goals83.8%

Over 3.5 goals67.5%

Both teams to score78.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.7%

HT Over 0.5

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Both Halves Over 0.580.5%

Goal in Both Halves80.5%

Home or Draw (1X)78.3%

Draw No Bet - Home74.1%

Home Win61.4%

Draw or Away (X2)38.2%

Draw No Bet - Away25.9%

Away Win21.4%

Draw16.8%

Exactly 1 Goal4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.1%

Over 2.5 Goals83.5%

Under 5.5 Goals68.7%

Over 3.5 Goals67.3%

4+ Goals67.3%

Under 4.5 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 4.5 Goals48.5%

2-4 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals35.0%

Under 3.5 Goals32.7%

1-3 Goals31.4%

Over 5.5 Goals31.3%

2-3 Goals26.8%

Under 2.5 Goals16.5%

Exactly 3 Goals16.3%

1-2 Goals15.2%

Exactly 2 Goals10.6%

Under 1.5 Goals5.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.1%

Away Team to Score81.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.7%

Home Clean Sheet17.8%

Home Win to Nil16.8%

Away Clean Sheet5.6%

Away Win to Nil4.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.1%

Away Over 0.581.9%

Home Over 1.578.0%

Home Over 2.554.7%

Home 3+ Goals54.7%

Away Over 1.551.3%

Away Exactly 130.7%

Away Exactly 226.4%

Away Over 2.524.8%

Away 3+ Goals24.8%

Home Exactly 223.2%

Away Exactly 017.8%

Home Exactly 116.1%

Home Exactly 05.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)74.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away74.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)57.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away57.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)42.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home42.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)25.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home25.3%

Home to win by 3+25.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.1%

Home to win by 119.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.0%

Home to win by 217.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.4%

Away to win by 111.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.1%

Away to win by 26.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.9%

Away to win by 3+3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.572.4%

Home & Over 2.554.4%

Home & BTTS44.7%

Away & Over 2.518.2%

Home & No BTTS16.8%

Away & BTTS16.8%

Draw & BTTS15.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.2%

Draw & Over 2.510.9%

Home & Under 2.57.0%

Draw & Under 2.56.0%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Away & No BTTS4.6%

Away & Under 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.4%

HT Over 1.561.4%

HT Home Win48.9%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT/FT Home/Home41.8%

HT Both Teams Score39.2%

HT Under 1.538.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.8%

HT Away Win22.3%

Equal Goals Each Half18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.1%

HT Under 0.512.6%

HT/FT Away/Away12.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners84.9%

Under 10.5 Corners76.3%

Away Most Corners75.4%

Under 9.5 Corners65.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners64.2%

Under 8.5 Corners52.3%

Over 8.5 Corners47.7%

Over 9.5 Corners34.7%

Over 10.5 Corners23.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners18.5%

Over 11.5 Corners15.1%

Home Most Corners14.8%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards86.1%

Over 3.5 Cards71.1%

Under 5.5 Cards64.5%

Over 4.5 Cards53.0%

Under 4.5 Cards47.0%

Over 5.5 Cards35.5%

Under 3.5 Cards28.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards19.3%

Under 2.5 Cards13.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions