Brazil · Serie A

Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro

● LIVE 78' · 2:0

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

85% confidence

Vasco DA Gama 3.7% Draw 11.6% Cruzeiro 84.7%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 41%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 13.1%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Cruzeiro: 2 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.1%

Exact-score model probability

Vasco DA Gama

L L D D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 2:12 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 2

Cruzeiro

W W W W L W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 10:5 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Vasco DA Gama win3.7%

Draw11.6%

Cruzeiro win84.7%

Over 1.5 goals87.1%

Over 2.5 goals68.0%

Over 3.5 goals46.4%

Both teams to score40.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

89.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

86.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

86.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)95.3%

Draw No Bet - Away95.2%

Home or Away (12)89.4%

Away Win85.1%

Both Halves Over 0.567.9%

Goal in Both Halves67.9%

Home or Draw (1X)14.6%

Exactly 1 Goal10.5%

Draw10.3%

Draw No Bet - Home4.8%

Home Win4.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Over 1.5 Goals86.2%

Under 5.5 Goals86.0%

Under 4.5 Goals72.7%

Over 2.5 Goals67.8%

2-4 Goals58.9%

Under 3.5 Goals53.8%

1-3 Goals50.4%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 3.5 Goals46.2%

4+ Goals46.2%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals39.9%

Under 2.5 Goals32.2%

1-2 Goals28.9%

Over 4.5 Goals27.3%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Exactly 2 Goals18.4%

Over 5.5 Goals14.0%

Under 1.5 Goals13.8%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)59.9%

Away Clean Sheet57.4%

Away Win to Nil54.4%

Home Team to Score42.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)40.1%

Home Clean Sheet5.2%

Home Win to Nil2.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.5%

Away Over 1.579.1%

Home Exactly 057.4%

Away Over 2.556.4%

Away 3+ Goals56.4%

Home Over 0.542.3%

Home Exactly 131.7%

Away Exactly 222.7%

Away Exactly 115.3%

Home Over 1.510.6%

Home Exactly 28.7%

Away Exactly 05.2%

Home Over 2.51.9%

Home 3+ Goals1.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away95.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)86.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home86.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)85.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)73.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home73.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)66.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away66.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)54.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home54.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)45.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away45.0%

Away to win by 3+45.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)32.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home32.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)25.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away25.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.8%

Away to win by 221.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw19.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.3%

Away to win by 118.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home14.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw13.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away12.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw7.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw3.4%

Home to win by 13.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.8%

Home to win by 20.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.563.2%

Away & No BTTS54.4%

BTTS & Over 2.535.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.532.6%

Away & BTTS30.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.0%

Away & Under 2.521.9%

Draw & Under 2.57.9%

Draw & BTTS7.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.9%

Draw & Over 2.52.4%

Home & Over 2.52.2%

Home & No BTTS2.2%

Home & Under 2.52.1%

Home & BTTS2.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.4%

HT Away Win65.2%

HT/FT Away/Away63.0%

HT Under 1.553.1%

HT Over 1.546.9%

2nd Half More Goals46.2%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw28.0%

Equal Goals Each Half21.9%

HT Under 0.520.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.9%

HT Both Teams Score16.2%

HT Home Win6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

HT/FT Home/Home2.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home1.8%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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