UEFA Europa Conference League

Velež vs Dunajska Streda

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Velež 13.6% Draw 48.0% Dunajska Streda 38.4%

Over 2.5 - 7% BTTS - 14%

🎯 Best Pick

No Both Teams Score (NG)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 62%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 38%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

38%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

62%

Market does not fully agree

Velež

L W D

Form 1-1-1 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 0.67

Dunajska Streda

Form 1-0-0 Goals 1:0 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0

Head to head · last 1

Velež 0wins ·0 draws ·Dunajska Streda 1wins

Velež 0-1 Dunajska StredaJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Velež win13.6%

Draw48.0%

Dunajska Streda win38.4%

Over 1.5 goals26.2%

Over 2.5 goals7.4%

Over 3.5 goals1.7%

Both teams to score13.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

88.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)85.4%

Draw No Bet - Away72.9%

Home or Draw (1X)60.6%

Home or Away (12)54.0%

Draw46.0%

Away Win39.4%

Exactly 1 Goal36.8%

Draw No Bet - Home27.1%

Home Win14.6%

Both Halves Over 0.514.6%

Goal in Both Halves14.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals100.0%

Under 4.5 Goals99.7%

Under 3.5 Goals98.3%

Under 2.5 Goals92.6%

Under 1.5 Goals74.8%

Over 0.5 Goals62.0%

1-3 Goals60.3%

Total Goals Even57.2%

1-2 Goals54.5%

Total Goals Odd42.8%

Under 0.5 Goals38.0%

Exactly 0 Goals38.0%

Over 1.5 Goals25.2%

2-4 Goals24.9%

2-3 Goals23.5%

Exactly 2 Goals17.8%

Over 2.5 Goals7.4%

3-4 Goals7.1%

Exactly 3 Goals5.7%

Over 3.5 Goals1.7%

4+ Goals1.7%

Over 4.5 Goals0.3%

Over 5.5 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)87.4%

Away Clean Sheet74.1%

Home Clean Sheet51.3%

Away Team to Score48.7%

Away Win to Nil36.1%

Home Team to Score25.9%

Home Win to Nil13.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)12.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 074.1%

Away Exactly 051.3%

Away Over 0.548.7%

Away Exactly 134.2%

Home Over 0.525.9%

Home Exactly 122.2%

Away Over 1.514.4%

Away Exactly 211.4%

Home Over 1.53.7%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.53.0%

Away 3+ Goals3.0%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away85.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw28.0%

Away to win by 128.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.6%

Home to win by 112.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.0%

Away to win by 29.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.4%

Away to win by 3+2.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.8%

Home to win by 21.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 3+0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.585.0%

Draw & Under 2.545.6%

Away & No BTTS36.1%

Away & Under 2.533.8%

Home & No BTTS13.3%

Home & Under 2.513.1%

Draw & BTTS8.0%

BTTS & Under 2.57.6%

Away & Over 2.55.6%

BTTS & Over 2.55.0%

Away & BTTS3.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.52.4%

Home & Over 2.51.5%

Home & BTTS1.3%

Draw & Over 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.592.9%

HT Draw67.4%

HT Under 0.564.7%

Equal Goals Each Half47.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw42.0%

HT Over 0.535.3%

2nd Half More Goals29.6%

HT Away Win23.1%

1st Half More Goals23.0%

HT/FT Away/Away20.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.0%

HT Home Win9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.3%

HT Over 1.57.1%

HT/FT Home/Home7.1%

HT Both Teams Score3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.2%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Velež win10%

Draw45%

Dunajska Streda win45%

AdviceCombo Double chance : draw or Dunajska Streda and -3.5 goals

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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