Italy · Serie A

Venezia vs Inter

Kick-off 18:30 · Wed, Oct 28

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

80% confidence

Venezia 6.4% Draw 13.0% Inter 80.4%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Inter: 3 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

Venezia

L W L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 6:13 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.17

Inter

W W W L W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 14:8 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 4

Venezia 0wins ·0 draws ·Inter 4wins

Venezia 0-1 InterJan 12, 2025

Venezia 0-1 InterNov 3, 2024

Venezia 1-2 InterJan 22, 2022

Venezia 0-2 InterNov 27, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Venezia win6.4%

Draw13.0%

Inter win80.4%

Over 1.5 goals84.4%

Over 2.5 goals87.9%

Over 3.5 goals42.5%

Both teams to score76.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

91.9%

Over 1.5 Goals

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)87.6%

Draw No Bet - Away85.7%

Home or Away (12)84.7%

Both Halves Over 0.573.0%

Goal in Both Halves73.0%

Away Win72.6%

Home or Draw (1X)27.2%

Draw15.0%

Draw No Bet - Home14.3%

Home Win12.1%

Exactly 1 Goal7.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals89.8%

Under 5.5 Goals80.3%

Over 2.5 Goals74.4%

Under 4.5 Goals65.1%

2-4 Goals54.9%

Over 3.5 Goals54.4%

4+ Goals54.4%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals45.6%

1-3 Goals43.3%

3-4 Goals39.5%

2-3 Goals35.4%

Over 4.5 Goals34.9%

Under 2.5 Goals25.6%

1-2 Goals23.3%

Exactly 3 Goals20.0%

Over 5.5 Goals19.7%

Exactly 2 Goals15.4%

Under 1.5 Goals10.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.7%

Home Team to Score66.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.6%

Away Clean Sheet33.3%

Away Win to Nil31.3%

Home Clean Sheet6.1%

Home Win to Nil4.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.7%

Away Over 1.576.7%

Home Over 0.566.4%

Away Over 2.552.9%

Away 3+ Goals52.9%

Home Exactly 136.5%

Home Exactly 033.3%

Home Over 1.529.9%

Away Exactly 223.8%

Home Exactly 220.0%

Away Exactly 117.0%

Home Over 2.59.9%

Home 3+ Goals9.9%

Away Exactly 06.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away87.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home82.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)72.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)67.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home67.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)52.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away52.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)47.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home47.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)32.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away32.4%

Away to win by 3+32.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)27.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home27.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.2%

Away to win by 120.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.0%

Away to win by 220.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away17.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.9%

Home to win by 17.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.1%

Home to win by 23.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.2%

Home to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.559.0%

BTTS & Over 2.556.2%

Away & BTTS41.3%

Away & No BTTS31.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.3%

Away & Under 2.513.6%

Draw & BTTS13.0%

Home & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Under 2.58.3%

Home & BTTS8.1%

Draw & Over 2.56.8%

BTTS & Under 2.56.2%

Home & No BTTS4.0%

Home & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.7%

HT Away Win55.6%

HT Over 1.552.3%

HT/FT Away/Away50.8%

HT Under 1.547.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw29.9%

HT Both Teams Score27.9%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.0%

HT Under 0.517.3%

HT Home Win14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.6%

HT/FT Home/Home6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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