Italy · Serie A

Venezia vs Napoli

Kick-off 14:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Venezia 9.9% Draw 19.6% Napoli 70.5%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

90%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Napoli: 0 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Venezia 0 wins, 1 draws, Napoli 3 wins in the last 4 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.4%

Exact-score model probability

Venezia

L L L L L L

Form 0-0-6 Goals 5:16 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.67

Napoli

L W D W L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 4

Venezia 0wins ·1 draws ·Napoli 3wins

Venezia 0-0 NapoliMar 16, 2025

Venezia 0-1 NapoliDec 29, 2024

Venezia 0-2 NapoliFeb 6, 2022

Venezia 0-2 NapoliAug 22, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Venezia win9.9%

Draw19.6%

Napoli win70.5%

Over 1.5 goals74.2%

Over 2.5 goals90.9%

Over 3.5 goals27.2%

Both teams to score79.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

90.7%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)88.6%

Draw No Bet - Away87.1%

Home or Away (12)85.5%

Away Win74.5%

Both Halves Over 0.574.2%

Goal in Both Halves74.2%

Home or Draw (1X)25.2%

Draw14.1%

Draw No Bet - Home12.9%

Home Win11.1%

Exactly 1 Goal7.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals90.5%

Under 5.5 Goals78.8%

Over 2.5 Goals75.9%

Under 4.5 Goals63.2%

Over 3.5 Goals56.3%

4+ Goals56.3%

2-4 Goals53.7%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals43.7%

1-3 Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals39.1%

Over 4.5 Goals36.8%

2-3 Goals34.2%

Under 2.5 Goals24.1%

1-2 Goals22.0%

Over 5.5 Goals21.2%

Exactly 3 Goals19.5%

Exactly 2 Goals14.7%

Under 1.5 Goals9.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.3%

Home Team to Score65.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.7%

Away Clean Sheet33.8%

Away Win to Nil32.0%

Home Clean Sheet5.4%

Home Win to Nil3.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.3%

Away Over 1.578.5%

Home Over 0.565.9%

Away Over 2.555.5%

Away 3+ Goals55.5%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 033.8%

Home Over 1.529.3%

Away Exactly 223.0%

Home Exactly 219.8%

Away Exactly 115.8%

Home Over 2.59.6%

Home 3+ Goals9.6%

Away Exactly 05.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home90.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away88.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)80.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home80.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)74.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)64.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home64.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)54.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away54.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)44.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home44.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)34.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away34.9%

Away to win by 3+34.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home25.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.0%

Away to win by 220.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.6%

Away to win by 119.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away19.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.3%

Home to win by 17.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.8%

Home to win by 22.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.0%

Home to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.561.3%

BTTS & Over 2.556.5%

Away & BTTS42.5%

Away & No BTTS32.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.0%

Away & Under 2.513.1%

Draw & BTTS12.3%

Home & Over 2.58.0%

Draw & Under 2.57.6%

Home & BTTS7.5%

Draw & Over 2.56.5%

BTTS & Under 2.55.8%

Home & No BTTS3.6%

Home & Under 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.5%

HT Away Win57.3%

HT Over 1.553.7%

HT/FT Away/Away52.8%

2nd Half More Goals47.5%

HT Under 1.546.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw28.9%

HT Both Teams Score28.2%

Equal Goals Each Half20.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.9%

HT Under 0.516.5%

HT Home Win13.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Home/Home6.1%

HT/FT Home/Away4.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions