Italy · Serie A

Venezia vs Udinese

Kick-off 20:45 · Fri, Nov 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Venezia 26.8% Draw 30.2% Udinese 43.0%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Venezia: 3 points versus 1 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 0.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.9%

Exact-score model probability

Venezia

L L L W L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 2:9 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Udinese

L D L L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 3:12 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 4

Venezia 1wins ·0 draws ·Udinese 3wins

Venezia 2-3 UdineseFeb 1, 2025

Venezia 3-2 UdineseOct 30, 2024

Venezia 1-2 UdineseApr 10, 2022

Venezia 0-3 UdineseAug 27, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Venezia win26.8%

Draw30.2%

Udinese win43.0%

Over 1.5 goals60.1%

Over 2.5 goals82.8%

Over 3.5 goals14.7%

Both teams to score75.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

86.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.0%

Draw or Away (X2)80.9%

Both Halves Over 0.577.9%

Goal in Both Halves77.9%

Draw No Bet - Away77.3%

Away Win64.2%

Home or Draw (1X)35.6%

Draw No Bet - Home22.7%

Home Win18.9%

Draw16.7%

Exactly 1 Goal5.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals92.8%

Over 2.5 Goals80.5%

Under 5.5 Goals73.3%

Over 3.5 Goals62.7%

4+ Goals62.7%

Under 4.5 Goals56.6%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals49.4%

Over 4.5 Goals43.4%

Under 3.5 Goals37.3%

3-4 Goals37.1%

1-3 Goals35.7%

2-3 Goals30.1%

Over 5.5 Goals26.7%

Under 2.5 Goals19.5%

1-2 Goals18.0%

Exactly 3 Goals17.8%

Exactly 2 Goals12.3%

Under 1.5 Goals7.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.7%

Home Team to Score78.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.7%

Away Clean Sheet21.7%

Away Win to Nil20.4%

Home Clean Sheet6.0%

Home Win to Nil4.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.7%

Home Over 0.578.0%

Away Over 1.576.8%

Away Over 2.553.1%

Away 3+ Goals53.1%

Home Over 1.544.9%

Home Exactly 133.1%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Away Exactly 223.8%

Home Exactly 021.7%

Home Over 2.519.7%

Home 3+ Goals19.7%

Away Exactly 116.9%

Away Exactly 06.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home86.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away80.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)73.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home73.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)64.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)55.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home55.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)44.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away44.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)35.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home35.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)26.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away26.6%

Away to win by 3+26.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.7%

Away to win by 119.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.9%

Away to win by 217.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away13.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.7%

Home to win by 110.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.3%

Home to win by 25.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.9%

Home to win by 3+2.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.7%

Away & Over 2.555.3%

Away & BTTS43.8%

Away & No BTTS20.4%

Home & Over 2.515.4%

Draw & BTTS15.4%

Home & BTTS14.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.7%

Draw & Over 2.59.8%

Away & Under 2.58.8%

Draw & Under 2.56.9%

BTTS & Under 2.55.6%

Home & No BTTS4.7%

Home & Under 2.53.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.8%

HT Over 1.558.1%

HT Away Win50.3%

2nd Half More Goals48.3%

HT/FT Away/Away43.8%

HT Under 1.541.9%

HT Both Teams Score35.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.5%

HT Home Win20.2%

Equal Goals Each Half19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.9%

HT Under 0.514.2%

HT/FT Home/Home10.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.0%

HT/FT Home/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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