Germany · Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

Kick-off 19:30 · Fri, Oct 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

VfB Stuttgart 70.7% Draw 16.9% Borussia Mönchengladbach 12.3%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to VfB Stuttgart: 7 points versus 0 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: VfB Stuttgart 4 wins, 0 draws, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

VfB Stuttgart

D L W W L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Borussia Mönchengladbach

L L L L L L

Form 0-0-6 Goals 8:20 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 3.33

Head to head · last 5

VfB Stuttgart 4wins ·0 draws ·Borussia Mönchengladbach 1wins

VfB Stuttgart 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachJan 25, 2026

VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Borussia MönchengladbachAug 30, 2025

VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia MönchengladbachFeb 1, 2025

VfB Stuttgart 3-1 Borussia MönchengladbachSep 14, 2024

VfB Stuttgart 4-0 Borussia MönchengladbachMay 18, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

VfB Stuttgart win70.7%

Draw16.9%

Borussia Mönchengladbach win12.3%

Over 1.5 goals87.6%

Over 2.5 goals90.9%

Over 3.5 goals48.3%

Both teams to score63.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

Home or Away (12)

89.5%

HT Over 0.5

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home93.3%

Home or Draw (1X)92.6%

Home or Away (12)89.5%

Home Win83.4%

Both Halves Over 0.581.3%

Goal in Both Halves81.3%

Draw or Away (X2)15.2%

Draw9.2%

Draw No Bet - Away6.7%

Away Win6.0%

Exactly 1 Goal4.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals93.5%

Over 2.5 Goals83.4%

Under 5.5 Goals68.2%

Over 3.5 Goals67.7%

4+ Goals67.7%

Under 4.5 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Over 4.5 Goals49.2%

2-4 Goals44.3%

3-4 Goals34.2%

Under 3.5 Goals32.3%

Over 5.5 Goals31.8%

1-3 Goals30.1%

2-3 Goals25.8%

Under 2.5 Goals16.6%

Exactly 3 Goals15.7%

1-2 Goals14.3%

Exactly 2 Goals10.1%

Under 1.5 Goals6.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

Away Team to Score62.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.7%

Home Clean Sheet35.7%

Home Win to Nil34.8%

Away Clean Sheet2.5%

Away Win to Nil1.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.586.9%

Home Over 2.569.8%

Home 3+ Goals69.8%

Away Over 0.562.9%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Away Exactly 035.7%

Away Over 1.526.7%

Away Exactly 218.4%

Home Exactly 217.1%

Home Exactly 19.3%

Away Over 2.58.2%

Away 3+ Goals8.2%

Home Exactly 02.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away80.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)68.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home68.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)66.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away66.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)49.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home49.9%

Home to win by 3+49.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)48.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away48.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)31.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home31.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)30.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away30.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.5%

Home to win by 218.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home17.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away15.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 115.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.1%

Away to win by 14.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.4%

Away to win by 21.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.573.9%

BTTS & Over 2.557.9%

Home & BTTS48.6%

Home & No BTTS34.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.525.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.8%

Home & Under 2.59.5%

Draw & BTTS8.3%

Draw & Over 2.54.9%

Away & Over 2.54.6%

Away & BTTS4.4%

Draw & Under 2.54.3%

BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Away & No BTTS1.6%

Away & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.9%

HT Home Win67.1%

HT/FT Home/Home64.0%

HT Over 1.562.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT Under 1.537.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score29.7%

HT Draw23.1%

Equal Goals Each Half18.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.6%

HT Under 0.512.1%

HT Away Win9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Away/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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