Germany · Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen

Kick-off 18:30 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

66% confidence

VfB Stuttgart 65.7% Draw 18.8% Werder Bremen 15.4%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Werder Bremen: 7 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

VfB Stuttgart

L W L D L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5

Werder Bremen

W W D D W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 13:9 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

VfB Stuttgart 1wins ·2 draws ·Werder Bremen 2wins

VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Werder BremenApr 26, 2026

VfB Stuttgart 4-0 Werder BremenDec 14, 2025

VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Werder BremenApr 13, 2025

VfB Stuttgart 2-2 Werder BremenNov 30, 2024

VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Werder BremenApr 21, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

VfB Stuttgart win65.7%

Draw18.8%

Werder Bremen win15.4%

Over 1.5 goals87.2%

Over 2.5 goals90.9%

Over 3.5 goals47.1%

Both teams to score85.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

88.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.3%

Both Halves Over 0.580.4%

Goal in Both Halves80.4%

Home or Draw (1X)76.0%

Draw No Bet - Home71.1%

Home Win58.6%

Draw or Away (X2)41.2%

Draw No Bet - Away28.9%

Away Win23.8%

Draw17.4%

Exactly 1 Goal4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.1%

Over 2.5 Goals83.5%

Under 5.5 Goals68.8%

Over 3.5 Goals67.2%

4+ Goals67.2%

Under 4.5 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals48.5%

2-4 Goals45.7%

3-4 Goals35.0%

Under 3.5 Goals32.8%

1-3 Goals31.5%

Over 5.5 Goals31.2%

2-3 Goals26.9%

Under 2.5 Goals16.5%

Exactly 3 Goals16.3%

1-2 Goals15.2%

Exactly 2 Goals10.6%

Under 1.5 Goals5.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.7%

Away Team to Score83.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.8%

Home Clean Sheet16.5%

Home Win to Nil15.5%

Away Clean Sheet6.1%

Away Win to Nil5.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.7%

Away Over 0.583.3%

Home Over 1.576.6%

Away Over 1.553.6%

Home Over 2.552.8%

Home 3+ Goals52.8%

Away Exactly 129.7%

Away Over 2.526.9%

Away 3+ Goals26.9%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 223.8%

Home Exactly 117.0%

Away Exactly 016.5%

Home Exactly 06.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away60.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)58.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)41.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away41.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)23.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home23.0%

Home to win by 3+23.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.1%

Home to win by 119.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.5%

Home to win by 216.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.3%

Away to win by 112.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.8%

Away to win by 26.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.6%

Away to win by 3+4.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.573.2%

Home & Over 2.551.8%

Home & BTTS43.1%

Away & Over 2.520.3%

Away & BTTS18.7%

Draw & BTTS16.4%

Home & No BTTS15.5%

Draw & Over 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.4%

Home & Under 2.56.7%

Draw & Under 2.56.1%

Away & No BTTS5.1%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Away & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.4%

HT Over 1.561.3%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Home Win46.9%

HT Both Teams Score39.8%

HT/FT Home/Home39.3%

HT Under 1.538.7%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.2%

HT Away Win23.9%

Equal Goals Each Half18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.6%

HT/FT Away/Away14.1%

HT Under 0.512.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions