Germany · 2. Bundesliga

VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld

Kick-off 12:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

VfL Bochum 47.6% Draw 26.4% Arminia Bielefeld 26.0%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to VfL Bochum: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12%

Exact-score model probability

VfL Bochum

L W W L W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 5:4 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.67

Arminia Bielefeld

D W L W L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 3

VfL Bochum 0wins ·1 draws ·Arminia Bielefeld 2wins

VfL Bochum 1-1 Arminia BielefeldMay 2, 2026

VfL Bochum 1-2 Arminia BielefeldMay 6, 2022

VfL Bochum 0-2 Arminia BielefeldDec 14, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

VfL Bochum win47.6%

Draw26.4%

Arminia Bielefeld win26.0%

Over 1.5 goals81.4%

Over 2.5 goals57.6%

Over 3.5 goals35.2%

Both teams to score60.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

85.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

83.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

83.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)74.5%

Draw or Away (X2)63.4%

Home or Draw (1X)62.1%

Both Halves Over 0.555.6%

Goal in Both Halves55.6%

Draw No Bet - Away50.9%

Draw No Bet - Home49.1%

Away Win37.9%

Home Win36.6%

Draw25.5%

Exactly 1 Goal17.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals93.8%

Over 0.5 Goals93.7%

Under 4.5 Goals85.3%

Over 1.5 Goals76.3%

Under 3.5 Goals70.0%

1-3 Goals63.7%

2-4 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals47.8%

2-3 Goals46.3%

1-2 Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals37.5%

Over 3.5 Goals30.0%

4+ Goals30.0%

Exactly 2 Goals24.1%

Under 1.5 Goals23.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals14.7%

Under 0.5 Goals6.3%

Exactly 0 Goals6.3%

Over 5.5 Goals6.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score75.2%

Home Team to Score74.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.9%

Away Clean Sheet25.5%

Home Clean Sheet24.8%

Away Win to Nil19.2%

Home Win to Nil18.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.575.2%

Home Over 0.574.5%

Away Over 1.540.7%

Home Over 1.539.7%

Home Exactly 134.8%

Away Exactly 134.6%

Home Exactly 025.5%

Away Exactly 024.8%

Away Exactly 224.1%

Home Exactly 223.8%

Away Over 2.516.6%

Away 3+ Goals16.6%

Home Over 2.515.9%

Home 3+ Goals15.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.4%

Away to win by 120.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 119.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.1%

Away to win by 211.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.7%

Home to win by 210.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.4%

Away to win by 3+6.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.0%

Home to win by 3+6.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.544.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.535.8%

Away & Over 2.523.0%

Home & Over 2.522.1%

Away & No BTTS19.2%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Away & BTTS18.7%

Draw & Under 2.518.4%

Home & No BTTS18.4%

Home & BTTS18.2%

Away & Under 2.515.0%

Home & Under 2.514.5%

BTTS & Under 2.512.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.1%

Draw & Over 2.57.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.2%

HT Under 1.564.7%

2nd Half More Goals43.7%

HT Draw41.1%

HT Over 1.535.3%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Away Win29.9%

HT Home Win29.0%

HT Under 0.528.8%

Equal Goals Each Half25.2%

HT/FT Away/Away22.4%

HT/FT Home/Home21.5%

HT Both Teams Score21.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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