Germany · 2. Bundesliga

VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC

Kick-off 19:30 · Fri, Aug 7

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

48% confidence

VfL Bochum 48.0% Draw 22.0% Hertha BSC 30.0%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

High xG values

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

80%

Home or Draw (1X)

Home advantage

69%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

VfL Bochum and Hertha BSC have different recent form, with Bochum having a slight edge at home. Hertha BSC's poor away form could impact their chances. The expected goals and BTTS rates suggest a high-scoring match. With both teams capable of scoring, the match is likely to be open. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to high expected goals from both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 1

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 80.5% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High xG values

Recent form leans to VfL Bochum: 9 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

BTTS probability

80.5%

Both teams to score

VfL Bochum BTTS

66.7%

Across recent matches

Hertha BSC BTTS

66.7%

Across recent matches

VfL Bochum

W D D W L D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17

Hertha BSC

L W L

Form 1-0-2 Goals 3:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

VfL Bochum win48.0%

Draw22.0%

Hertha BSC win30.0%

Over 1.5 goals95.1%

Over 2.5 goals84.0%

Over 3.5 goals67.6%

Both teams to score80.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.8%

HT Over 0.5

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.2%

Both Halves Over 0.580.6%

Goal in Both Halves80.6%

Home or Draw (1X)68.8%

Draw No Bet - Home61.7%

Home Win50.1%

Draw or Away (X2)49.7%

Draw No Bet - Away38.3%

Away Win31.1%

Draw18.6%

Exactly 1 Goal4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.3%

Over 2.5 Goals83.7%

Under 5.5 Goals68.5%

Over 3.5 Goals67.5%

4+ Goals67.5%

Under 4.5 Goals51.2%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals48.8%

2-4 Goals45.5%

3-4 Goals34.9%

Under 3.5 Goals32.5%

Over 5.5 Goals31.5%

1-3 Goals31.3%

2-3 Goals26.8%

Under 2.5 Goals16.3%

Exactly 3 Goals16.2%

1-2 Goals15.1%

Exactly 2 Goals10.5%

Under 1.5 Goals5.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.2%

Away Team to Score86.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.8%

Home Clean Sheet13.0%

Home Win to Nil12.0%

Away Clean Sheet7.6%

Away Win to Nil6.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.2%

Away Over 0.586.8%

Home Over 1.572.6%

Away Over 1.560.4%

Home Over 2.547.4%

Home 3+ Goals47.4%

Away Over 2.533.3%

Away 3+ Goals33.3%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 126.5%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Home Exactly 119.6%

Away Exactly 013.0%

Home Exactly 07.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)31.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home31.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.5%

Home to win by 118.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.2%

Home to win by 3+17.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 214.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.1%

Away to win by 29.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.4%

Away to win by 3+7.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.575.0%

Home & Over 2.544.3%

Home & BTTS38.1%

Away & Over 2.527.0%

Away & BTTS24.4%

Draw & BTTS17.6%

Draw & Over 2.512.4%

Home & No BTTS12.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Away & No BTTS6.6%

Draw & Under 2.56.2%

Home & Under 2.55.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Away & Under 2.54.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.5%

HT Over 1.561.4%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Home Win41.3%

HT Both Teams Score41.2%

HT Under 1.538.6%

HT/FT Home/Home32.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.9%

HT Away Win28.9%

HT/FT Away/Away18.9%

Equal Goals Each Half18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.1%

HT Under 0.512.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

VfL Bochum win50%

Draw50%

Hertha BSC win0%

AdviceDouble chance : VfL Bochum or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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