Germany · 2. Bundesliga

VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Kick-off 12:00 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

VfL Bochum 24.3% Draw 25.7% SpVgg Greuther Fürth 50.0%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to VfL Bochum: 11 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12%

Exact-score model probability

VfL Bochum

W L W D D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

L D W L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 2

VfL Bochum 1wins ·0 draws ·SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1wins

VfL Bochum 1-2 SpVgg Greuther FürthMar 5, 2022

VfL Bochum 1-0 SpVgg Greuther FürthOct 16, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

VfL Bochum win24.3%

Draw25.7%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win50.0%

Over 1.5 goals82.2%

Over 2.5 goals58.9%

Over 3.5 goals36.5%

Both teams to score60.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)74.7%

Draw or Away (X2)71.6%

Draw No Bet - Away61.9%

Both Halves Over 0.554.1%

Goal in Both Halves54.1%

Home or Draw (1X)53.8%

Away Win46.2%

Draw No Bet - Home38.1%

Home Win28.4%

Draw25.3%

Exactly 1 Goal18.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.5%

Over 0.5 Goals93.2%

Under 4.5 Goals86.5%

Over 1.5 Goals74.8%

Under 3.5 Goals71.8%

1-3 Goals64.9%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals50.2%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Under 2.5 Goals49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals46.6%

1-2 Goals42.9%

3-4 Goals36.8%

Over 3.5 Goals28.2%

4+ Goals28.2%

Under 1.5 Goals25.2%

Exactly 2 Goals24.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Over 4.5 Goals13.5%

Under 0.5 Goals6.8%

Exactly 0 Goals6.8%

Over 5.5 Goals5.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score78.5%

Home Team to Score68.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)53.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)46.4%

Away Clean Sheet31.7%

Away Win to Nil24.9%

Home Clean Sheet21.5%

Home Win to Nil14.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.578.5%

Home Over 0.568.3%

Away Over 1.545.4%

Home Exactly 136.4%

Away Exactly 133.1%

Home Over 1.531.8%

Home Exactly 031.7%

Away Exactly 225.4%

Away Exactly 021.5%

Home Exactly 220.9%

Away Over 2.520.0%

Away 3+ Goals20.0%

Home Over 2.510.9%

Home 3+ Goals10.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)76.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home76.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)53.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home53.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)23.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away23.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.9%

Away to win by 122.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 117.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.0%

Away to win by 214.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.4%

Away to win by 3+9.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.8%

Home to win by 27.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.5%

Home to win by 3+3.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.541.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.7%

Away & Over 2.527.7%

Away & No BTTS24.9%

Away & BTTS21.3%

Draw & Under 2.518.9%

Away & Under 2.518.5%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

Home & Over 2.516.1%

Home & No BTTS14.7%

Home & BTTS13.7%

Home & Under 2.512.3%

BTTS & Under 2.512.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.56.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.1%

HT Under 1.566.0%

2nd Half More Goals43.4%

HT Draw41.5%

HT Away Win34.7%

HT Over 1.534.0%

1st Half More Goals31.0%

HT Under 0.529.9%

HT/FT Away/Away28.0%

Equal Goals Each Half25.6%

HT Home Win23.7%

HT Both Teams Score20.1%

HT/FT Home/Home16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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