Germany · 2. Bundesliga

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Kick-off 13:30 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

VfL Osnabrück 23.6% Draw 17.4% SpVgg Greuther Fürth 59.0%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 6.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 1 points versus 7 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.1%

Exact-score model probability

VfL Osnabrück

D L L

Form 0-1-2 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.67

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

L L D W L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

VfL Osnabrück win23.6%

Draw17.4%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win59.0%

Over 1.5 goals96.8%

Over 2.5 goals88.4%

Over 3.5 goals75.0%

Both teams to score83.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.0%

Over 2.5 Goals

88.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.584.6%

Goal in Both Halves84.6%

Home or Away (12)83.1%

Draw or Away (X2)75.6%

Draw No Bet - Away71.2%

Away Win59.2%

Home or Draw (1X)40.3%

Draw No Bet - Home28.8%

Home Win24.0%

Draw16.4%

Exactly 1 Goal3.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals95.8%

Over 2.5 Goals88.0%

Over 3.5 Goals74.6%

4+ Goals74.6%

Under 5.5 Goals60.0%

Over 4.5 Goals57.5%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals42.5%

Over 5.5 Goals40.0%

2-4 Goals38.4%

3-4 Goals30.5%

Under 3.5 Goals25.4%

1-3 Goals24.3%

2-3 Goals21.2%

Exactly 3 Goals13.4%

Under 2.5 Goals12.0%

1-2 Goals10.9%

Exactly 2 Goals7.8%

Under 1.5 Goals4.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.0%

Home Team to Score86.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)17.6%

Away Clean Sheet13.2%

Away Win to Nil12.6%

Home Clean Sheet4.5%

Home Win to Nil3.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.0%

Home Over 0.586.4%

Away Over 1.580.9%

Home Over 1.559.7%

Away Over 2.559.3%

Away 3+ Goals59.3%

Home Over 2.532.8%

Home 3+ Goals32.8%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 126.6%

Away Exactly 221.7%

Away Exactly 114.0%

Home Exactly 013.2%

Away Exactly 04.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home86.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)75.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away75.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)74.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home74.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)59.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)58.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home58.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)41.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away41.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)40.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home40.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.0%

Away to win by 3+25.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)24.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.1%

Away to win by 118.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.1%

Away to win by 216.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away13.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.8%

Home to win by 111.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.9%

Home to win by 26.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.2%

Home to win by 3+5.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.578.7%

Away & Over 2.554.5%

Away & BTTS46.6%

Home & Over 2.521.5%

Home & BTTS20.0%

Draw & BTTS15.8%

Away & No BTTS12.6%

Draw & Over 2.512.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.8%

Away & Under 2.54.7%

Draw & Under 2.54.4%

Home & No BTTS3.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.0%

HT Over 1.567.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.9%

HT Away Win48.1%

HT Both Teams Score44.9%

HT/FT Away/Away40.3%

HT Under 1.533.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.3%

HT Home Win24.6%

Equal Goals Each Half17.7%

HT/FT Home/Home14.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.0%

HT Under 0.510.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Home/Away5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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