Germany · 2. Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim

Kick-off 12:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

VfL Wolfsburg 29.3% Draw 30.9% 1. FC Heidenheim 39.8%

Over 2.5 - 43% BTTS - 50%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Head-to-head record: VfL Wolfsburg 2 wins, 1 draws, 1. FC Heidenheim 1 wins in the last 4 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.8%

Exact-score model probability

VfL Wolfsburg

W D L D W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 5:4 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.67

1. FC Heidenheim

D L W L W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 12:14 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 4

VfL Wolfsburg 2wins ·1 draws ·1. FC Heidenheim 1wins

VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 1. FC HeidenheimJan 17, 2026

VfL Wolfsburg 3-1 1. FC HeidenheimAug 23, 2025

VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 1. FC HeidenheimMar 29, 2025

VfL Wolfsburg 3-1 1. FC HeidenheimNov 10, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

VfL Wolfsburg win29.3%

Draw30.9%

1. FC Heidenheim win39.8%

Over 1.5 goals70.5%

Over 2.5 goals42.7%

Over 3.5 goals21.8%

Both teams to score49.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.9%

Under 4.5 Goals

88.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

85.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)73.1%

Home or Draw (1X)66.4%

Draw or Away (X2)60.5%

Draw No Bet - Home54.0%

Both Halves Over 0.550.7%

Goal in Both Halves50.7%

Draw No Bet - Away46.0%

Home Win39.5%

Away Win33.6%

Draw26.9%

Exactly 1 Goal20.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.7%

Over 0.5 Goals91.9%

Under 4.5 Goals88.9%

Under 3.5 Goals75.5%

Over 1.5 Goals71.5%

1-3 Goals67.4%

2-4 Goals60.5%

Under 2.5 Goals54.0%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.0%

1-2 Goals45.9%

3-4 Goals34.9%

Under 1.5 Goals28.5%

Exactly 2 Goals25.6%

Over 3.5 Goals24.5%

4+ Goals24.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.4%

Over 4.5 Goals11.1%

Under 0.5 Goals8.1%

Exactly 0 Goals8.1%

Over 5.5 Goals4.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score73.2%

Away Team to Score69.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)51.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.9%

Home Clean Sheet30.3%

Away Clean Sheet26.8%

Home Win to Nil22.2%

Away Win to Nil18.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.573.2%

Away Over 0.569.7%

Home Over 1.538.0%

Away Exactly 136.2%

Home Exactly 135.3%

Away Over 1.533.6%

Away Exactly 030.3%

Home Exactly 026.8%

Home Exactly 223.2%

Away Exactly 221.6%

Home Over 2.514.7%

Home 3+ Goals14.7%

Away Over 2.511.9%

Away 3+ Goals11.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)66.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home66.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)33.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.6%

Home to win by 121.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.6%

Away to win by 119.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.5%

Home to win by 211.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.5%

Away to win by 29.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.3%

Home to win by 3+6.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.6%

Away to win by 3+4.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.541.3%

BTTS & Over 2.538.3%

Home & No BTTS22.2%

Home & Over 2.521.8%

Draw & Under 2.520.9%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

Away & No BTTS18.7%

Away & Over 2.518.2%

Home & Under 2.517.7%

Home & BTTS17.3%

Away & Under 2.515.5%

Away & BTTS15.0%

BTTS & Under 2.512.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.6%

Draw & Over 2.56.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.568.8%

HT Over 0.567.7%

HT Draw43.4%

2nd Half More Goals42.6%

HT Under 0.532.3%

HT Over 1.531.2%

1st Half More Goals30.7%

HT Home Win30.1%

Equal Goals Each Half26.7%

HT Away Win26.5%

HT/FT Home/Home23.2%

HT/FT Away/Away19.3%

HT Both Teams Score18.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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