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Italy · Serie B

Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro

Kick-off 19:30 · Fri, Aug 21
📊 Our Prediction
Home +5.5 (Handicap)
44% confidence
Vicenza Virtus 44.0% Draw 22.7% Catanzaro 33.3%
Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 75%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
AI verdict (fallback)
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
88%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.
AI verdict (fallback)
Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
2-1
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
7.9%
Exact-score model probability
Vicenza Virtus
No recent results stored yet
Catanzaro
L L W W L L
Form 2-0-4 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Vicenza Virtus win44.0%
Draw22.7%
Catanzaro win33.3%
Over 1.5 goals91.4%
Over 2.5 goals75.3%
Over 3.5 goals55.5%
Both teams to score74.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals
90.4%
Home Team to Score
87.8%
Home Over 0.5
87.8%
Match Result (11)
Home or Away (12)79.3%
Both Halves Over 0.573.5%
Goal in Both Halves73.5%
Home or Draw (1X)65.6%
Draw No Bet - Home56.7%
Draw or Away (X2)55.0%
Home Win44.9%
Draw No Bet - Away43.3%
Away Win34.3%
Draw20.7%
Exactly 1 Goal7.7%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals98.0%
Over 1.5 Goals90.4%
Under 5.5 Goals79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals75.3%
Under 4.5 Goals64.1%
Over 3.5 Goals55.4%
4+ Goals55.4%
2-4 Goals54.4%
Total Goals Odd50.0%
Total Goals Even50.0%
Under 3.5 Goals44.6%
1-3 Goals42.6%
3-4 Goals39.3%
Over 4.5 Goals35.9%
2-3 Goals34.9%
Under 2.5 Goals24.7%
1-2 Goals22.7%
Over 5.5 Goals20.5%
Exactly 3 Goals19.8%
Exactly 2 Goals15.1%
Under 1.5 Goals9.6%
Under 0.5 Goals2.0%
Exactly 0 Goals1.9%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score87.8%
Away Team to Score84.0%
Both Teams Score (GG)73.8%
No Both Teams Score (NG)26.2%
Home Clean Sheet16.0%
Home Win to Nil14.0%
Away Clean Sheet12.1%
Away Win to Nil10.2%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.587.8%
Away Over 0.584.0%
Home Over 1.562.2%
Away Over 1.554.7%
Home Over 2.535.2%
Home 3+ Goals35.2%
Away Exactly 129.3%
Away Over 2.527.8%
Away 3+ Goals27.8%
Home Exactly 227.0%
Away Exactly 226.9%
Home Exactly 125.6%
Away Exactly 016.0%
Home Exactly 012.1%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.2%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.2%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.2%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.9%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.9%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.4%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.5%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.5%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.3%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.3%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.1%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.1%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.6%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)55.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away55.0%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)44.9%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.3%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.1%
Home to win by 119.1%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.6%
Away to win by 116.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.4%
Home to win by 213.4%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.5%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.5%
Home to win by 3+12.5%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.1%
Away to win by 210.1%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.6%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.6%
Away to win by 3+7.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.4%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.1%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.8%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.3%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.7%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.9%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.8%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.8%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.566.3%
Home & Over 2.536.5%
Home & BTTS30.9%
Away & Over 2.527.5%
Away & BTTS24.1%
Draw & BTTS18.8%
No BTTS & Under 2.517.2%
Home & No BTTS14.0%
Draw & Over 2.511.2%
Away & No BTTS10.2%
Draw & Under 2.59.5%
No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%
Home & Under 2.58.4%
BTTS & Under 2.57.5%
Away & Under 2.56.8%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.583.0%
HT Over 1.552.9%
2nd Half More Goals47.4%
HT Under 1.547.1%
HT Home Win36.9%
HT Both Teams Score34.4%
HT Draw33.1%
1st Half More Goals32.1%
HT Away Win30.1%
HT/FT Home/Home28.2%
HT/FT Away/Away20.8%
Equal Goals Each Half20.5%
HT Under 0.517.0%
HT/FT Draw/Home13.0%
HT/FT Draw/Away10.4%
HT/FT Draw/Draw9.7%
HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%
HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%
HT/FT Away/Home3.8%
HT/FT Home/Away3.1%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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