UEFA Europa League

Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun

Kick-off 18:30 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

Vikingur Reykjavik 14.8% Draw 15.7% FC Thun 69.5%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Vikingur Reykjavik: 7 points versus 4 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

Vikingur Reykjavik

L L W D W

Form 2-1-2 Goals 5:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.6

FC Thun

W L D

Form 1-1-1 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Vikingur Reykjavik 0wins ·0 draws ·FC Thun 1wins

Vikingur Reykjavik 0-3 FC ThunAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Vikingur Reykjavik win14.8%

Draw15.7%

FC Thun win69.5%

Over 1.5 goals95.5%

Over 2.5 goals85.0%

Over 3.5 goals69.4%

Both teams to score75.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

90.4%

HT Over 0.5

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)85.0%

Draw or Away (X2)84.2%

Draw No Bet - Away82.1%

Both Halves Over 0.581.6%

Goal in Both Halves81.6%

Away Win69.7%

Home or Draw (1X)29.7%

Draw No Bet - Home17.9%

Home Win15.2%

Draw14.5%

Exactly 1 Goal4.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals94.4%

Over 2.5 Goals84.5%

Over 3.5 Goals69.0%

4+ Goals69.0%

Under 5.5 Goals66.8%

Over 4.5 Goals50.6%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 4.5 Goals49.4%

2-4 Goals43.8%

3-4 Goals34.0%

Over 5.5 Goals33.2%

Under 3.5 Goals31.0%

1-3 Goals29.6%

2-3 Goals25.4%

Exactly 3 Goals15.6%

Under 2.5 Goals15.5%

1-2 Goals14.0%

Exactly 2 Goals9.9%

Under 1.5 Goals5.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.3%

Home Team to Score78.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.2%

Away Clean Sheet21.5%

Away Win to Nil20.6%

Home Clean Sheet4.1%

Home Win to Nil3.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.3%

Away Over 1.582.3%

Home Over 0.578.0%

Away Over 2.561.4%

Away 3+ Goals61.4%

Home Over 1.545.1%

Home Exactly 132.9%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Home Exactly 021.5%

Away Exactly 220.9%

Home Over 2.519.8%

Home 3+ Goals19.8%

Away Exactly 113.0%

Away Exactly 04.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home90.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away84.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home80.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)69.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)66.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home66.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)51.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away51.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)48.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home48.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)33.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away33.2%

Away to win by 3+33.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)29.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home29.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away18.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.3%

Away to win by 118.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.2%

Away to win by 218.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.8%

Home to win by 18.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.2%

Home to win by 24.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.3%

Home to win by 3+2.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.4%

Away & Over 2.562.4%

Away & BTTS49.1%

Away & No BTTS20.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.1%

Draw & BTTS13.6%

Home & Over 2.512.9%

Home & BTTS12.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

Draw & Over 2.59.3%

Away & Under 2.57.3%

Draw & Under 2.55.2%

BTTS & Under 2.54.3%

Home & No BTTS3.2%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.1%

HT Over 1.562.8%

HT Away Win55.1%

HT/FT Away/Away49.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.1%

HT Both Teams Score38.0%

HT Under 1.537.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.0%

Equal Goals Each Half18.5%

HT Home Win17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.9%

HT Under 0.511.9%

HT/FT Home/Home8.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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