Spain · La Liga

Villarreal vs Getafe

Kick-off 18:30 · Sun, Nov 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Villarreal 62.0% Draw 24.6% Getafe 13.4%

Over 2.5 - 40% BTTS - 38%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

80%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 14.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Villarreal: 7 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Villarreal 2 wins, 2 draws, Getafe 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.5%

Exact-score model probability

Villarreal

L L W L D W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:13 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.17

Getafe

W L D L D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 5

Villarreal 2wins ·2 draws ·Getafe 1wins

Villarreal 1-2 GetafeFeb 14, 2026

Villarreal 2-0 GetafeDec 6, 2025

Villarreal 2-1 GetafeMar 30, 2025

Villarreal 1-1 GetafeOct 20, 2024

Villarreal 1-1 GetafeFeb 16, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Villarreal win62.0%

Draw24.6%

Getafe win13.4%

Over 1.5 goals67.1%

Over 2.5 goals40.2%

Over 3.5 goals19.9%

Both teams to score37.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

90.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)90.8%

Draw No Bet - Home88.8%

Home or Away (12)82.3%

Home Win73.1%

Both Halves Over 0.556.1%

Goal in Both Halves56.1%

Draw or Away (X2)26.8%

Draw17.6%

Exactly 1 Goal17.2%

Draw No Bet - Away11.2%

Away Win9.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals93.8%

Under 5.5 Goals93.6%

Under 4.5 Goals85.0%

Over 1.5 Goals76.6%

Under 3.5 Goals69.5%

1-3 Goals63.3%

2-4 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals52.7%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals47.3%

2-3 Goals46.1%

1-2 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals37.7%

Over 3.5 Goals30.5%

4+ Goals30.5%

Exactly 2 Goals23.9%

Under 1.5 Goals23.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals15.0%

Over 5.5 Goals6.4%

Under 0.5 Goals6.2%

Exactly 0 Goals6.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)59.1%

Home Clean Sheet53.8%

Home Win to Nil47.7%

Away Team to Score46.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)40.9%

Away Clean Sheet11.4%

Away Win to Nil5.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.5%

Home Over 1.563.7%

Away Exactly 053.8%

Away Over 0.546.1%

Home Over 2.536.9%

Home 3+ Goals36.9%

Away Exactly 133.3%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 124.8%

Away Over 1.512.8%

Home Exactly 011.4%

Away Exactly 210.3%

Away Over 2.52.5%

Away 3+ Goals2.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)73.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away73.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)51.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away51.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)48.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home48.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)26.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away26.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home26.4%

Home to win by 3+26.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.6%

Home to win by 124.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.1%

Home to win by 222.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.0%

Away to win by 17.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.8%

Away to win by 21.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS47.7%

Home & Over 2.545.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.539.0%

BTTS & Over 2.532.6%

Home & Under 2.527.8%

Home & BTTS25.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.1%

Draw & Under 2.514.4%

Draw & BTTS11.5%

BTTS & Under 2.58.3%

Away & No BTTS5.3%

Away & Under 2.55.0%

Away & Over 2.54.2%

Away & BTTS3.9%

Draw & Over 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.5%

HT Under 1.564.3%

HT Home Win52.8%

HT/FT Home/Home49.2%

2nd Half More Goals43.8%

HT Draw36.8%

HT Over 1.535.7%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT Under 0.528.5%

Equal Goals Each Half25.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.4%

HT Both Teams Score15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.5%

HT Away Win10.4%

HT/FT Away/Away4.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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