Spain · La Liga

Villarreal vs Real Betis

Kick-off 20:00 · Mon, Sep 14

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Villarreal 55.4% Draw 21.8% Real Betis 22.8%

Over 2.5 - 63% BTTS - 96%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Real Betis: 5 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Villarreal

L L L D D W

Form 1-2-3 Goals 13:12 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 2

Real Betis

W W L W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

Villarreal 2wins ·1 draws ·Real Betis 2wins

Villarreal 0-2 Real BetisJan 17, 2026

Villarreal 2-2 Real BetisOct 18, 2025

Villarreal 2-1 Real BetisApr 13, 2025

Villarreal 1-2 Real BetisDec 15, 2024

Villarreal 3-2 Real BetisMar 10, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Villarreal win55.4%

Draw21.8%

Real Betis win22.8%

Over 1.5 goals83.9%

Over 2.5 goals63.3%

Over 3.5 goals41.1%

Both teams to score96.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.5%

Goal in Both Halves

91.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.5%

Goal in Both Halves91.5%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Home or Draw (1X)64.9%

Draw No Bet - Home59.2%

Draw or Away (X2)49.7%

Home Win49.1%

Draw No Bet - Away40.8%

Away Win33.8%

Draw15.8%

Exactly 1 Goal1.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals97.5%

Over 2.5 Goals94.1%

Over 3.5 Goals86.8%

4+ Goals86.8%

Over 4.5 Goals75.1%

Over 5.5 Goals60.2%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 5.5 Goals39.8%

Under 4.5 Goals24.9%

2-4 Goals22.4%

3-4 Goals19.0%

Under 3.5 Goals13.2%

1-3 Goals11.8%

2-3 Goals10.8%

Exactly 3 Goals7.3%

Under 2.5 Goals5.9%

1-2 Goals4.5%

Exactly 2 Goals3.4%

Under 1.5 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.6%

Away Team to Score93.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.5%

Home Clean Sheet5.3%

Home Win to Nil5.1%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.6%

Away Over 0.593.5%

Home Over 1.584.7%

Away Over 1.578.0%

Home Over 2.565.9%

Home 3+ Goals65.9%

Away Over 2.555.4%

Away 3+ Goals55.4%

Away Exactly 222.7%

Home Exactly 218.8%

Away Exactly 115.5%

Home Exactly 110.9%

Away Exactly 05.3%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)49.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)33.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home33.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home20.1%

Home to win by 3+20.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 115.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.4%

Away to win by 113.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.2%

Home to win by 213.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.9%

Away to win by 3+10.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.6%

Away to win by 29.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.8%

Home & Over 2.547.5%

Home & BTTS44.0%

Away & Over 2.532.6%

Away & BTTS30.8%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

Draw & Over 2.513.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.3%

Home & No BTTS5.1%

Away & No BTTS3.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Draw & Under 2.51.9%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Home & Under 2.51.6%

Away & Under 2.51.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.3%

HT Over 1.578.1%

HT Both Teams Score57.8%

2nd Half More Goals51.9%

HT Home Win42.8%

HT/FT Home/Home33.2%

HT Away Win32.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw24.7%

HT Under 1.521.9%

HT/FT Away/Away21.6%

Equal Goals Each Half15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.2%

HT Under 0.55.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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