Italy · Serie B

Virtus Entella vs Avellino

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Oct 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Virtus Entella 61.6% Draw 27.8% Avellino 10.6%

Over 2.5 - 33% BTTS - 32%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 20.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

20.1%

Exact-score model probability

Virtus Entella

W L

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Avellino

L W L

Form 1-0-2 Goals 1:4 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Virtus Entella win61.6%

Draw27.8%

Avellino win10.6%

Over 1.5 goals61.6%

Over 2.5 goals33.2%

Over 3.5 goals14.9%

Both teams to score32.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

88.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

88.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.1%

Draw No Bet - Home84.1%

Home or Away (12)74.8%

Home Win62.9%

Both Halves Over 0.540.3%

Goal in Both Halves40.3%

Draw or Away (X2)37.1%

Exactly 1 Goal26.6%

Draw25.2%

Draw No Bet - Away15.9%

Away Win11.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.2%

Under 4.5 Goals94.4%

Over 0.5 Goals86.9%

Under 3.5 Goals85.1%

1-3 Goals72.0%

Under 2.5 Goals66.8%

Over 1.5 Goals60.3%

2-4 Goals54.7%

1-2 Goals53.7%

Total Goals Even50.9%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

2-3 Goals45.4%

Under 1.5 Goals39.7%

Over 2.5 Goals33.2%

3-4 Goals27.7%

Exactly 2 Goals27.1%

Exactly 3 Goals18.3%

Over 3.5 Goals14.9%

4+ Goals14.9%

Under 0.5 Goals13.1%

Exactly 0 Goals13.1%

Over 4.5 Goals5.6%

Over 5.5 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score78.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)69.1%

Home Clean Sheet60.7%

Home Win to Nil47.6%

Away Team to Score39.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)30.9%

Away Clean Sheet21.6%

Away Win to Nil8.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.578.4%

Away Exactly 060.7%

Home Over 1.545.3%

Away Over 0.539.3%

Home Exactly 133.1%

Away Exactly 130.3%

Home Exactly 225.4%

Home Exactly 021.6%

Home Over 2.519.9%

Home 3+ Goals19.9%

Away Over 1.59.0%

Away Exactly 27.6%

Away Over 2.51.4%

Away 3+ Goals1.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)37.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away37.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw28.8%

Home to win by 128.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.7%

Home to win by 219.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.4%

Home to win by 3+14.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.4%

Away to win by 19.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.1%

Away to win by 22.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.556.7%

Home & No BTTS47.6%

Home & Under 2.535.5%

Home & Over 2.527.4%

Draw & Under 2.523.1%

BTTS & Over 2.520.8%

Home & BTTS15.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.4%

Draw & BTTS12.1%

BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Away & No BTTS8.5%

Away & Under 2.58.2%

Away & Over 2.53.7%

Away & BTTS3.4%

Draw & Over 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.576.7%

HT Over 0.559.9%

HT Draw46.5%

HT Home Win42.6%

HT Under 0.540.1%

2nd Half More Goals40.1%

HT/FT Home/Home39.0%

Equal Goals Each Half30.3%

1st Half More Goals29.6%

HT Over 1.523.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home22.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.9%

HT Away Win10.9%

HT Both Teams Score10.0%

HT/FT Away/Away6.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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