Italy · Serie B

Virtus Entella vs Cesena

Kick-off 18:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Virtus Entella 40.5% Draw 20.7% Cesena 38.8%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

Virtus Entella

W L

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Cesena

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 3:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Virtus Entella win40.5%

Draw20.7%

Cesena win38.8%

Over 1.5 goals94.8%

Over 2.5 goals83.2%

Over 3.5 goals66.6%

Both teams to score81.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

89.9%

Home Over 0.5

89.9%

Away Team to Score

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.6%

Both Halves Over 0.580.0%

Goal in Both Halves80.0%

Home or Draw (1X)60.5%

Draw or Away (X2)58.7%

Draw No Bet - Home51.1%

Draw No Bet - Away48.9%

Home Win41.2%

Away Win39.4%

Draw19.3%

Exactly 1 Goal4.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.0%

Over 2.5 Goals83.1%

Under 5.5 Goals69.6%

Over 3.5 Goals66.5%

4+ Goals66.5%

Under 4.5 Goals52.4%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals47.6%

2-4 Goals46.4%

3-4 Goals35.5%

Under 3.5 Goals33.5%

1-3 Goals32.3%

Over 5.5 Goals30.4%

2-3 Goals27.5%

Under 2.5 Goals16.9%

Exactly 3 Goals16.6%

1-2 Goals15.7%

Exactly 2 Goals10.9%

Under 1.5 Goals6.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.9%

Away Team to Score89.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.6%

Home Clean Sheet10.5%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Home Win to Nil9.5%

Away Win to Nil9.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.9%

Away Over 0.589.3%

Home Over 1.566.8%

Away Over 1.565.6%

Home Over 2.540.3%

Home 3+ Goals40.3%

Away Over 2.539.0%

Away 3+ Goals39.0%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 123.7%

Home Exactly 123.0%

Away Exactly 010.5%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.8%

Away to win by 116.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.1%

Home to win by 212.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.9%

Home to win by 3+11.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.6%

Away to win by 211.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.0%

Away to win by 3+11.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.9%

Home & Over 2.536.0%

Away & Over 2.534.3%

Home & BTTS31.7%

Away & BTTS30.4%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

Draw & Over 2.512.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.3%

Home & No BTTS9.5%

Away & No BTTS9.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.2%

Draw & Under 2.56.5%

BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Home & Under 2.55.2%

Away & Under 2.55.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.1%

HT Over 1.560.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.8%

HT Both Teams Score41.1%

HT Under 1.539.3%

HT Home Win35.4%

HT Away Win34.2%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw30.4%

HT/FT Home/Home25.9%

HT/FT Away/Away24.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.9%

HT Under 0.512.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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