Italy · Serie B

Virtus Entella vs Mantova

Kick-off 14:00 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Virtus Entella 68.5% Draw 13.6% Mantova 17.9%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 88%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

88%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.2%

Exact-score model probability

Virtus Entella

W L

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Mantova

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 3:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 3.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Virtus Entella win68.5%

Draw13.6%

Mantova win17.9%

Over 1.5 goals98.8%

Over 2.5 goals94.8%

Over 3.5 goals86.9%

Both teams to score88.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.1%

Goal in Both Halves

91.1%

Home Over 1.5

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.1%

Goal in Both Halves91.1%

Home or Away (12)84.9%

Home or Draw (1X)80.1%

Draw No Bet - Home79.2%

Home Win67.2%

Draw or Away (X2)30.6%

Draw No Bet - Away20.8%

Away Win17.7%

Draw12.9%

Exactly 1 Goal1.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.5%

Over 1.5 Goals96.4%

Over 2.5 Goals92.7%

Over 3.5 Goals84.9%

4+ Goals84.9%

Over 4.5 Goals72.7%

Over 5.5 Goals57.5%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

Total Goals Even48.9%

Under 5.5 Goals42.5%

Under 4.5 Goals27.3%

2-4 Goals23.6%

3-4 Goals19.9%

Under 3.5 Goals15.1%

1-3 Goals12.6%

2-3 Goals11.5%

Exactly 3 Goals7.8%

Under 2.5 Goals7.3%

1-2 Goals4.9%

Exactly 2 Goals3.7%

Under 1.5 Goals3.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score87.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.2%

Home Clean Sheet10.3%

Home Win to Nil10.1%

Away Clean Sheet1.8%

Away Win to Nil1.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.588.8%

Away Over 0.587.4%

Home Over 2.574.3%

Home 3+ Goals74.3%

Away Over 1.564.2%

Away Over 2.538.1%

Away 3+ Goals38.1%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Away Exactly 123.2%

Home Exactly 214.5%

Away Exactly 010.3%

Home Exactly 17.2%

Home Exactly 01.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away76.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)67.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)62.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away62.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)51.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home51.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)46.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away46.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.4%

Home to win by 3+35.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 216.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 115.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.8%

Away to win by 18.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.0%

Away to win by 25.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.9%

Away to win by 3+3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.584.1%

Home & Over 2.564.9%

Home & BTTS57.1%

Away & Over 2.516.8%

Away & BTTS16.1%

Draw & BTTS12.7%

Draw & Over 2.511.0%

Home & No BTTS10.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Home & Under 2.52.3%

Draw & Under 2.51.9%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Away & No BTTS1.6%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.1%

HT Over 1.577.3%

HT Home Win56.1%

HT Both Teams Score53.3%

2nd Half More Goals51.7%

HT/FT Home/Home49.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw23.0%

HT Under 1.522.7%

HT Away Win20.9%

Equal Goals Each Half15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.7%

HT/FT Away/Away10.5%

HT/FT Away/Home6.2%

HT Under 0.55.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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