Brazil · Serie A

Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense

Full time · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Vitoria 25.1% Draw 18.2% Atletico Paranaense 56.7%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 83%

✓ Pick was correct (1:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.2%

Exact-score model probability

Vitoria

D L W L D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Atletico Paranaense

L W W D L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 12:13 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Vitoria win25.1%

Draw18.2%

Atletico Paranaense win56.7%

Over 1.5 goals96.4%

Over 2.5 goals87.2%

Over 3.5 goals73.0%

Both teams to score82.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

87.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.583.5%

Goal in Both Halves83.5%

Home or Away (12)82.6%

Draw or Away (X2)74.1%

Draw No Bet - Away69.1%

Away Win57.1%

Home or Draw (1X)42.6%

Draw No Bet - Home30.9%

Home Win25.6%

Draw17.0%

Exactly 1 Goal3.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals95.5%

Over 2.5 Goals86.9%

Over 3.5 Goals72.7%

4+ Goals72.7%

Under 5.5 Goals62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals55.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals45.0%

2-4 Goals40.4%

Over 5.5 Goals37.5%

3-4 Goals31.9%

Under 3.5 Goals27.3%

1-3 Goals26.2%

2-3 Goals22.8%

Exactly 3 Goals14.2%

Under 2.5 Goals13.1%

1-2 Goals12.0%

Exactly 2 Goals8.6%

Under 1.5 Goals4.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.4%

Home Team to Score86.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.2%

Away Clean Sheet13.3%

Away Win to Nil12.6%

Home Clean Sheet5.2%

Home Win to Nil4.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.4%

Home Over 0.586.4%

Away Over 1.579.0%

Home Over 1.559.6%

Away Over 2.556.2%

Away 3+ Goals56.2%

Home Over 2.532.7%

Home 3+ Goals32.7%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 126.7%

Away Exactly 222.8%

Away Exactly 115.4%

Home Exactly 013.3%

Away Exactly 05.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home87.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)76.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home76.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)74.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away74.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)60.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home60.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)57.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)42.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home42.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)38.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away38.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)25.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.9%

Away to win by 3+22.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.3%

Away to win by 118.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.8%

Away to win by 215.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.5%

Home to win by 112.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.4%

Home to win by 27.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.6%

Home to win by 3+5.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.7%

Away & Over 2.552.0%

Away & BTTS44.5%

Home & Over 2.522.7%

Home & BTTS21.0%

Draw & BTTS16.3%

Away & No BTTS12.6%

Draw & Over 2.512.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.6%

Away & Under 2.55.1%

Draw & Under 2.54.8%

Home & No BTTS4.5%

BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Home & Under 2.52.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.3%

HT Over 1.565.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Away Win46.4%

HT Both Teams Score43.9%

HT/FT Away/Away38.4%

HT Under 1.534.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw28.0%

HT Home Win25.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Home/Home15.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.8%

HT Under 0.510.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.9%

Corners (12)

Home Over 4.5 Corners73.8%

Home Most Corners69.4%

Over 8.5 Corners69.2%

Under 11.5 Corners67.1%

Over 9.5 Corners57.0%

Under 10.5 Corners55.5%

Over 10.5 Corners44.5%

Under 9.5 Corners43.0%

Away Over 4.5 Corners38.1%

Over 11.5 Corners32.9%

Under 8.5 Corners30.8%

Away Most Corners20.4%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards81.9%

Over 2.5 Cards72.7%

Under 4.5 Cards67.3%

Over 3.5 Cards52.1%

Under 3.5 Cards47.9%

Over 4.5 Cards32.7%

Under 2.5 Cards27.3%

Over 5.5 Cards18.1%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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