Brazil · Serie A

Vitoria vs Botafogo

Kick-off 22:30 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Vitoria 28.1% Draw 28.2% Botafogo 43.7%

Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Botafogo: 4 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.9%

Exact-score model probability

Vitoria

L L L D W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 2:11 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Botafogo

D W D W D W

Form 3-3-0 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 1

Vitoria 0wins ·1 draws ·Botafogo 0wins

Vitoria 0-0 BotafogoJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Vitoria win28.1%

Draw28.2%

Botafogo win43.7%

Over 1.5 goals77.7%

Over 2.5 goals52.0%

Over 3.5 goals29.8%

Both teams to score56.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)74.9%

Draw or Away (X2)70.3%

Draw No Bet - Away60.4%

Both Halves Over 0.555.5%

Goal in Both Halves55.5%

Home or Draw (1X)54.7%

Away Win45.3%

Draw No Bet - Home39.6%

Home Win29.7%

Draw25.1%

Exactly 1 Goal17.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals93.9%

Over 0.5 Goals93.6%

Under 4.5 Goals85.4%

Over 1.5 Goals76.1%

Under 3.5 Goals70.2%

1-3 Goals63.8%

2-4 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals48.0%

2-3 Goals46.3%

1-2 Goals41.6%

3-4 Goals37.5%

Over 3.5 Goals29.8%

4+ Goals29.8%

Exactly 2 Goals24.1%

Under 1.5 Goals23.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals14.6%

Under 0.5 Goals6.4%

Exactly 0 Goals6.3%

Over 5.5 Goals6.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score78.8%

Home Team to Score70.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.8%

Away Clean Sheet29.9%

Away Win to Nil23.6%

Home Clean Sheet21.2%

Home Win to Nil14.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.578.8%

Home Over 0.570.1%

Away Over 1.545.9%

Home Exactly 136.1%

Home Over 1.534.0%

Away Exactly 132.9%

Home Exactly 029.9%

Away Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 221.8%

Away Exactly 021.2%

Away Over 2.520.4%

Away 3+ Goals20.4%

Home Over 2.512.2%

Home 3+ Goals12.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)70.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away70.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)54.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home54.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)45.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)29.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.4%

Away to win by 122.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.4%

Home to win by 117.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.6%

Away to win by 213.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.2%

Away to win by 3+9.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.3%

Home to win by 28.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.9%

Home to win by 3+3.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.543.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.536.1%

Away & Over 2.527.8%

Away & No BTTS23.6%

Away & BTTS21.7%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

Draw & Under 2.518.2%

Away & Under 2.517.5%

Home & Over 2.517.4%

Home & No BTTS14.9%

Home & BTTS14.8%

Home & Under 2.512.3%

BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.56.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.1%

HT Under 1.564.8%

2nd Half More Goals43.7%

HT Draw41.0%

HT Over 1.535.2%

HT Away Win34.4%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.528.9%

HT/FT Away/Away27.4%

Equal Goals Each Half25.2%

HT Home Win24.7%

HT Both Teams Score21.0%

HT/FT Home/Home17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners77.9%

Over 9.5 Corners67.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners65.5%

Home Over 4.5 Corners64.9%

Under 11.5 Corners56.4%

Over 10.5 Corners55.5%

Under 10.5 Corners44.5%

Away Most Corners44.4%

Over 11.5 Corners43.6%

Home Most Corners43.5%

Under 9.5 Corners32.7%

Under 8.5 Corners22.1%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards84.9%

Over 3.5 Cards69.2%

Under 5.5 Cards66.7%

Over 4.5 Cards50.7%

Under 4.5 Cards49.3%

Over 5.5 Cards33.3%

Under 3.5 Cards30.8%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.8%

Under 2.5 Cards15.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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