Brazil · Serie A

Vitoria vs Fluminense

Kick-off 00:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Vitoria 43.8% Draw 21.1% Fluminense 35.1%

Over 2.5 - 82% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

80%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Fluminense: 5 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

Vitoria

L D D L W L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Fluminense

W L L L W W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 11:7 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

Vitoria 0wins ·1 draws ·Fluminense 0wins

Vitoria 2-2 FluminenseMay 9, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Vitoria win43.8%

Draw21.1%

Fluminense win35.1%

Over 1.5 goals94.2%

Over 2.5 goals81.7%

Over 3.5 goals64.3%

Both teams to score79.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.8%

Home Team to Score

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.4%

Both Halves Over 0.578.7%

Goal in Both Halves78.7%

Home or Draw (1X)64.1%

Draw No Bet - Home55.4%

Draw or Away (X2)55.3%

Home Win44.6%

Draw No Bet - Away44.6%

Away Win35.8%

Draw19.5%

Exactly 1 Goal5.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals93.4%

Over 2.5 Goals81.6%

Under 5.5 Goals71.8%

Over 3.5 Goals64.3%

4+ Goals64.3%

Under 4.5 Goals54.9%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-4 Goals48.2%

Over 4.5 Goals45.1%

3-4 Goals36.5%

Under 3.5 Goals35.7%

1-3 Goals34.4%

2-3 Goals29.1%

Over 5.5 Goals28.2%

Under 2.5 Goals18.4%

Exactly 3 Goals17.3%

1-2 Goals17.1%

Exactly 2 Goals11.8%

Under 1.5 Goals6.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.2%

Away Team to Score87.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)79.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.0%

Home Clean Sheet12.4%

Home Win to Nil11.2%

Away Clean Sheet9.7%

Away Win to Nil8.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.2%

Away Over 0.587.5%

Home Over 1.567.5%

Away Over 1.561.7%

Home Over 2.541.1%

Home 3+ Goals41.1%

Away Over 2.534.7%

Away 3+ Goals34.7%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Away Exactly 125.8%

Home Exactly 122.7%

Away Exactly 012.4%

Home Exactly 09.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)55.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away55.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)44.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 118.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.2%

Away to win by 116.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.4%

Home to win by 3+13.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.1%

Home to win by 213.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.5%

Away to win by 210.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.1%

Away to win by 3+9.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.573.1%

Home & Over 2.538.5%

Home & BTTS33.4%

Away & Over 2.530.7%

Away & BTTS27.3%

Draw & BTTS18.3%

Draw & Over 2.512.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.4%

Home & No BTTS11.2%

Away & No BTTS8.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.5%

Draw & Under 2.57.1%

Home & Under 2.56.1%

BTTS & Under 2.55.9%

Away & Under 2.55.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.3%

HT Over 1.559.1%

2nd Half More Goals48.5%

HT Under 1.540.9%

HT Both Teams Score39.6%

HT Home Win37.4%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Away Win31.7%

HT Draw30.9%

HT/FT Home/Home28.3%

HT/FT Away/Away22.1%

Equal Goals Each Half19.2%

HT Under 0.513.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners75.6%

Under 10.5 Corners65.0%

Away Over 4.5 Corners62.9%

Away Most Corners61.1%

Over 8.5 Corners60.3%

Under 9.5 Corners52.7%

Over 9.5 Corners47.3%

Under 8.5 Corners39.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners37.9%

Over 10.5 Corners35.0%

Home Most Corners26.9%

Over 11.5 Corners24.4%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards80.4%

Over 2.5 Cards74.3%

Under 4.5 Cards65.3%

Over 3.5 Cards54.2%

Under 3.5 Cards45.8%

Over 4.5 Cards34.7%

Under 2.5 Cards25.7%

Over 5.5 Cards19.6%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions