England · Championship

Watford vs West Ham

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Watford 14.0% Draw 14.7% West Ham 71.3%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 8.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to West Ham: 7 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.1%

Exact-score model probability

Watford

L D W W L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:13 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.17

West Ham

W L D W W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 14:9 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 2

Watford 0wins ·0 draws ·West Ham 2wins

Watford 0-1 West HamFeb 8, 2022

Watford 1-4 West HamDec 28, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Watford win14.0%

Draw14.7%

West Ham win71.3%

Over 1.5 goals96.3%

Over 2.5 goals87.1%

Over 3.5 goals72.8%

Both teams to score77.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

89.8%

Draw or Away (X2)

88.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)88.0%

Draw No Bet - Away86.5%

Home or Away (12)85.8%

Both Halves Over 0.577.3%

Goal in Both Halves77.3%

Away Win74.2%

Home or Draw (1X)25.3%

Draw13.7%

Draw No Bet - Home13.5%

Home Win11.6%

Exactly 1 Goal5.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals92.2%

Over 2.5 Goals79.5%

Under 5.5 Goals74.5%

Over 3.5 Goals61.4%

4+ Goals61.4%

Under 4.5 Goals57.9%

2-4 Goals50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 4.5 Goals42.1%

Under 3.5 Goals38.6%

3-4 Goals37.5%

1-3 Goals36.7%

2-3 Goals30.8%

Over 5.5 Goals25.5%

Under 2.5 Goals20.5%

1-2 Goals18.6%

Exactly 3 Goals18.1%

Exactly 2 Goals12.7%

Under 1.5 Goals7.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score69.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.6%

Away Clean Sheet29.9%

Away Win to Nil28.5%

Home Clean Sheet4.6%

Home Win to Nil3.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.580.7%

Home Over 0.569.6%

Away Over 2.558.9%

Away 3+ Goals58.9%

Home Exactly 136.0%

Home Over 1.533.7%

Home Exactly 029.9%

Away Exactly 221.8%

Home Exactly 221.6%

Away Exactly 114.2%

Home Over 2.512.0%

Home 3+ Goals12.0%

Away Exactly 04.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home89.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away88.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home79.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)63.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home63.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)55.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away55.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)44.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home44.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)35.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away35.9%

Away to win by 3+35.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)25.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home25.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away20.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.5%

Away to win by 219.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.8%

Away to win by 118.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.4%

Home to win by 17.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.0%

Home to win by 23.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.2%

Home to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.563.4%

BTTS & Over 2.561.3%

Away & BTTS45.7%

Away & No BTTS28.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.9%

Draw & BTTS12.3%

Away & Under 2.510.8%

Home & Over 2.58.9%

Home & BTTS8.4%

Draw & Over 2.57.2%

Draw & Under 2.56.5%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Home & No BTTS3.2%

Home & Under 2.52.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.4%

HT Away Win57.8%

HT Over 1.557.3%

HT/FT Away/Away53.0%

2nd Half More Goals48.2%

HT Under 1.542.7%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score31.3%

HT Draw27.7%

Equal Goals Each Half19.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.3%

HT Under 0.514.6%

HT Home Win14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.5%

HT/FT Home/Home6.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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