Germany · Bundesliga

Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim

Full time · 2:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Werder Bremen 42.7% Draw 23.2% 1899 Hoffenheim 34.1%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 94%

✓ Pick was correct (2:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.3%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Werder Bremen: 12 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.3%

Exact-score model probability

Werder Bremen

W D D W D W

Form 3-3-0 Goals 14:10 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.67

1899 Hoffenheim

W W L L W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Werder Bremen 1wins ·0 draws ·1899 Hoffenheim 4wins

Werder Bremen 0-1 1899 HoffenheimMay 9, 2026

Werder Bremen 0-2 1899 HoffenheimJan 27, 2026

Werder Bremen 1-3 1899 HoffenheimFeb 16, 2025

Werder Bremen 4-3 1899 HoffenheimSep 29, 2024

Werder Bremen 1-2 1899 HoffenheimMar 3, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Werder Bremen win42.7%

Draw23.2%

1899 Hoffenheim win34.1%

Over 1.5 goals86.5%

Over 2.5 goals97.8%

Over 3.5 goals45.5%

Both teams to score93.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.4%

Goal in Both Halves

90.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.4%

Goal in Both Halves90.4%

Home or Away (12)83.0%

Home or Draw (1X)67.5%

Draw No Bet - Home62.1%

Home Win51.6%

Draw or Away (X2)47.4%

Draw No Bet - Away37.9%

Away Win31.4%

Draw16.0%

Exactly 1 Goal1.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals97.4%

Over 2.5 Goals93.3%

Over 3.5 Goals84.9%

4+ Goals84.9%

Over 4.5 Goals72.0%

Over 5.5 Goals56.3%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 5.5 Goals43.7%

Under 4.5 Goals28.0%

2-4 Goals25.4%

3-4 Goals21.2%

Under 3.5 Goals15.1%

1-3 Goals13.9%

2-3 Goals12.5%

Exactly 3 Goals8.4%

Under 2.5 Goals6.7%

1-2 Goals5.5%

Exactly 2 Goals4.1%

Under 1.5 Goals2.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.6%

Away Team to Score92.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.6%

Home Clean Sheet6.5%

Home Win to Nil6.3%

Away Clean Sheet3.4%

Away Win to Nil3.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.6%

Away Over 0.592.5%

Home Over 1.584.2%

Away Over 1.574.8%

Home Over 2.564.9%

Home 3+ Goals64.9%

Away Over 2.550.7%

Away 3+ Goals50.7%

Away Exactly 224.1%

Home Exactly 219.3%

Away Exactly 117.7%

Home Exactly 111.4%

Away Exactly 06.5%

Home Exactly 03.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away63.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)35.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home35.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.5%

Home to win by 3+21.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 116.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.9%

Home to win by 213.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.1%

Away to win by 113.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.4%

Away to win by 3+9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.0%

Away to win by 29.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.587.3%

Home & Over 2.549.6%

Home & BTTS45.3%

Away & Over 2.530.0%

Away & BTTS28.3%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

Draw & Over 2.513.7%

Home & No BTTS6.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.6%

Away & No BTTS3.1%

Draw & Under 2.52.3%

Home & Under 2.52.0%

BTTS & Under 2.52.0%

Away & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.6%

HT Over 1.576.1%

HT Both Teams Score55.3%

2nd Half More Goals51.5%

HT Home Win44.2%

HT/FT Home/Home35.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win30.6%

HT Draw25.2%

HT Under 1.523.9%

HT/FT Away/Away19.7%

Equal Goals Each Half16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.9%

HT Under 0.56.4%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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