Germany · Bundesliga

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07

Kick-off 14:30 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Werder Bremen 43.1% Draw 31.2% SC Paderborn 07 25.7%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Werder Bremen: 8 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

Werder Bremen

D W D W L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:12 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2

SC Paderborn 07

L W L L D W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 5:8 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Werder Bremen win43.1%

Draw31.2%

SC Paderborn 07 win25.7%

Over 1.5 goals62.5%

Over 2.5 goals83.8%

Over 3.5 goals15.9%

Both teams to score72.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

89.0%

HT Over 0.5

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.8%

Home or Away (12)85.9%

Draw No Bet - Home85.3%

Both Halves Over 0.580.5%

Goal in Both Halves80.5%

Home Win73.3%

Draw or Away (X2)26.1%

Draw No Bet - Away14.7%

Draw13.5%

Away Win12.6%

Exactly 1 Goal4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals93.8%

Over 2.5 Goals83.2%

Under 5.5 Goals69.0%

Over 3.5 Goals67.0%

4+ Goals67.0%

Under 4.5 Goals51.7%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 4.5 Goals48.3%

2-4 Goals45.5%

3-4 Goals35.0%

Under 3.5 Goals33.0%

1-3 Goals31.4%

Over 5.5 Goals31.0%

2-3 Goals26.8%

Under 2.5 Goals16.8%

Exactly 3 Goals16.2%

1-2 Goals15.2%

Exactly 2 Goals10.6%

Under 1.5 Goals6.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score74.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)71.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.8%

Home Clean Sheet25.3%

Home Win to Nil24.3%

Away Clean Sheet3.9%

Away Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Home Over 1.582.8%

Away Over 0.574.1%

Home Over 2.562.3%

Home 3+ Goals62.3%

Away Over 1.539.5%

Away Exactly 134.6%

Away Exactly 025.3%

Away Exactly 223.7%

Home Exactly 220.5%

Away Over 2.515.8%

Away 3+ Goals15.8%

Home Exactly 112.7%

Home Exactly 03.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)63.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away63.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)55.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home55.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)44.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away44.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)36.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home36.4%

Home to win by 3+36.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)26.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away26.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.8%

Home to win by 218.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 118.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.6%

Away to win by 17.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.3%

Away to win by 23.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.566.8%

Home & Over 2.564.8%

Home & BTTS49.0%

Home & No BTTS24.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.5%

Draw & BTTS12.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.7%

Away & Over 2.510.3%

Away & BTTS9.7%

Home & Under 2.58.5%

Draw & Over 2.58.1%

Draw & Under 2.55.4%

BTTS & Under 2.54.4%

Away & No BTTS2.9%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.4%

HT Over 1.561.4%

HT Home Win57.7%

HT/FT Home/Home52.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Under 1.538.6%

HT Both Teams Score35.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw26.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.5%

HT Away Win15.6%

HT Under 0.512.6%

HT/FT Away/Away7.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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