England · Championship

West Brom vs Birmingham

Kick-off 12:30 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

West Brom 56.3% Draw 25.8% Birmingham 17.9%

Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 52%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 11.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to West Brom: 8 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.7%

Exact-score model probability

West Brom

L D W W D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1

Birmingham

D D L D D W

Form 1-4-1 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

West Brom win56.3%

Draw25.8%

Birmingham win17.9%

Over 1.5 goals77.2%

Over 2.5 goals51.5%

Over 3.5 goals29.4%

Both teams to score52.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

85.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

84.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

84.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)80.7%

Home or Away (12)77.0%

Draw No Bet - Home74.9%

Home Win57.7%

Both Halves Over 0.555.1%

Goal in Both Halves55.1%

Draw or Away (X2)42.3%

Draw No Bet - Away25.1%

Draw23.0%

Away Win19.3%

Exactly 1 Goal17.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.1%

Over 0.5 Goals93.5%

Under 4.5 Goals85.8%

Over 1.5 Goals75.8%

Under 3.5 Goals70.6%

1-3 Goals64.1%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals48.5%

2-3 Goals46.4%

1-2 Goals42.0%

3-4 Goals37.3%

Over 3.5 Goals29.4%

4+ Goals29.4%

Exactly 2 Goals24.3%

Under 1.5 Goals24.2%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals14.2%

Under 0.5 Goals6.5%

Exactly 0 Goals6.5%

Over 5.5 Goals5.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.4%

Away Team to Score60.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.3%

Home Clean Sheet39.2%

Home Win to Nil32.7%

Away Clean Sheet16.5%

Away Win to Nil10.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.4%

Away Over 0.560.8%

Home Over 1.553.7%

Away Exactly 039.2%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 129.8%

Home Over 2.526.9%

Home 3+ Goals26.9%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Over 1.524.1%

Away Exactly 217.2%

Home Exactly 016.5%

Away Over 2.56.9%

Away 3+ Goals6.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home33.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.7%

Home to win by 124.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 217.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.2%

Home to win by 3+15.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.8%

Away to win by 112.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.8%

Away to win by 24.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.7%

Away to win by 3+1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.539.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.6%

Home & Over 2.535.5%

Home & No BTTS32.7%

Home & BTTS25.0%

Home & Under 2.522.2%

Draw & Under 2.517.4%

Draw & BTTS16.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.7%

BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

Away & Over 2.510.4%

Away & No BTTS10.1%

Away & BTTS9.3%

Away & Under 2.58.9%

Draw & Over 2.55.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.8%

HT Under 1.565.2%

2nd Half More Goals43.6%

HT Home Win42.1%

HT Draw40.0%

HT/FT Home/Home36.4%

HT Over 1.534.8%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.529.2%

Equal Goals Each Half25.4%

HT Both Teams Score19.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.5%

HT Away Win17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.0%

HT/FT Away/Away10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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