England · Championship

West Brom vs QPR

Kick-off 12:30 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

West Brom 63.8% Draw 21.3% QPR 14.9%

Over 2.5 - 64% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

85%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to QPR: 10 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.8%

Exact-score model probability

West Brom

W W D L L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

QPR

D L W W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

West Brom win63.8%

Draw21.3%

QPR win14.9%

Over 1.5 goals85.1%

Over 2.5 goals63.8%

Over 3.5 goals41.7%

Both teams to score58.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

89.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

89.7%

Home Team to Score

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)83.9%

Home or Away (12)80.9%

Draw No Bet - Home80.1%

Home Win64.9%

Both Halves Over 0.564.6%

Goal in Both Halves64.6%

Draw or Away (X2)35.1%

Draw No Bet - Away19.9%

Draw19.0%

Away Win16.1%

Exactly 1 Goal12.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.2%

Under 5.5 Goals88.5%

Over 1.5 Goals83.9%

Under 4.5 Goals76.5%

Over 2.5 Goals63.8%

2-4 Goals60.5%

Under 3.5 Goals58.4%

1-3 Goals54.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.3%

Over 3.5 Goals41.6%

4+ Goals41.6%

3-4 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals36.2%

1-2 Goals32.5%

Over 4.5 Goals23.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Exactly 2 Goals20.2%

Under 1.5 Goals16.1%

Over 5.5 Goals11.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.8%

Exactly 0 Goals3.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.5%

Away Team to Score64.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.4%

Home Clean Sheet35.6%

Home Win to Nil31.8%

Away Clean Sheet10.5%

Away Win to Nil6.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.5%

Home Over 1.565.8%

Away Over 0.564.4%

Home Over 2.539.1%

Home 3+ Goals39.1%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 035.6%

Away Over 1.527.6%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 123.6%

Away Exactly 219.0%

Home Exactly 010.5%

Away Over 2.58.6%

Away 3+ Goals8.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)57.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away57.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)42.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home42.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)35.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away35.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.9%

Home to win by 122.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)22.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home22.6%

Home to win by 3+22.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 219.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.5%

Away to win by 110.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.1%

Away to win by 24.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.5%

Away to win by 3+1.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.9%

Home & Over 2.547.0%

Home & BTTS33.0%

Home & No BTTS31.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.5%

Home & Under 2.517.9%

Draw & BTTS15.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.8%

Draw & Under 2.512.4%

Away & Over 2.510.2%

Away & BTTS9.3%

BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Away & No BTTS6.8%

Draw & Over 2.56.6%

Away & Under 2.55.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.2%

HT Under 1.556.5%

HT Home Win48.5%

2nd Half More Goals45.5%

HT Over 1.543.5%

HT/FT Home/Home43.0%

HT Draw34.9%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Both Teams Score23.7%

HT Under 0.522.8%

Equal Goals Each Half22.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.4%

HT Away Win16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.5%

HT/FT Away/Away8.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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