England · Championship

West Brom vs Southampton

Kick-off 21:00 · Tue, Nov 3

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

West Brom 36.7% Draw 26.9% Southampton 36.4%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Southampton: 10 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11%

Exact-score model probability

West Brom

W D W W L L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Southampton

W W D W W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:5 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

West Brom win36.7%

Draw26.9%

Southampton win36.4%

Over 1.5 goals82.3%

Over 2.5 goals58.9%

Over 3.5 goals36.5%

Both teams to score62.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

81.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

81.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.9%

Home or Draw (1X)62.2%

Draw or Away (X2)61.8%

Both Halves Over 0.560.8%

Goal in Both Halves60.8%

Draw No Bet - Home50.2%

Draw No Bet - Away49.8%

Home Win38.1%

Away Win37.8%

Draw24.0%

Exactly 1 Goal14.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.3%

Under 5.5 Goals91.0%

Over 1.5 Goals80.9%

Under 4.5 Goals80.6%

Under 3.5 Goals63.5%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals58.9%

1-3 Goals58.8%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.4%

Under 2.5 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals39.5%

Over 3.5 Goals36.5%

4+ Goals36.5%

1-2 Goals36.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.0%

Over 4.5 Goals19.4%

Under 1.5 Goals19.1%

Over 5.5 Goals9.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.7%

Exactly 0 Goals4.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score78.4%

Away Team to Score78.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.7%

Home Clean Sheet21.8%

Away Clean Sheet21.6%

Home Win to Nil17.1%

Away Win to Nil16.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.578.4%

Away Over 0.578.2%

Home Over 1.545.3%

Away Over 1.545.0%

Away Exactly 133.2%

Home Exactly 133.1%

Home Exactly 225.4%

Away Exactly 225.3%

Away Exactly 021.8%

Home Exactly 021.6%

Home Over 2.519.9%

Home 3+ Goals19.9%

Away Over 2.519.7%

Away 3+ Goals19.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)38.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 119.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.5%

Away to win by 119.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.3%

Home to win by 211.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.2%

Away to win by 211.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.2%

Home to win by 3+7.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.1%

Away to win by 3+7.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.550.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.1%

Home & Over 2.525.4%

Away & Over 2.525.2%

Home & BTTS21.1%

Away & BTTS20.9%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Home & No BTTS17.1%

Away & No BTTS16.9%

Draw & Under 2.515.7%

Home & Under 2.512.7%

Away & Under 2.512.6%

BTTS & Under 2.511.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

Draw & Over 2.58.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.7%

HT Under 1.560.0%

2nd Half More Goals44.8%

HT Over 1.540.0%

HT Draw38.7%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Home Win30.7%

HT Away Win30.5%

HT Under 0.525.3%

HT Both Teams Score24.7%

Equal Goals Each Half23.7%

HT/FT Home/Home22.8%

HT/FT Away/Away22.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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