England · League Cup

West Ham vs Fulham

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Sep 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

94% confidence

West Ham 94.3% Draw 4.4% Fulham 1.3%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 45%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

94%

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

Strongest 1X2 probability

Recent form leans to West Ham: 16 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

West Ham

W W W W D W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 21:6 Scored/game 3.5 Conceded/game 1

Fulham

D L L W L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

West Ham 2wins ·1 draws ·Fulham 2wins

West Ham 1-0 FulhamMar 4, 2026

West Ham 0-1 FulhamDec 27, 2025

West Ham 3-2 FulhamJan 14, 2025

West Ham 1-1 FulhamSep 14, 2024

West Ham 0-2 FulhamApr 14, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

West Ham win94.3%

Draw4.4%

Fulham win1.3%

Over 1.5 goals96.4%

Over 2.5 goals87.9%

Over 3.5 goals73.9%

Both teams to score45.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

92.0%

Home or Draw (1X)

90.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)90.9%

Draw No Bet - Home90.2%

Home or Away (12)87.5%

Home Win78.9%

Both Halves Over 0.577.1%

Goal in Both Halves77.1%

Draw or Away (X2)20.5%

Draw11.9%

Draw No Bet - Away9.8%

Away Win8.5%

Exactly 1 Goal6.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals92.0%

Over 2.5 Goals79.1%

Under 5.5 Goals75.0%

Over 3.5 Goals60.9%

4+ Goals60.9%

Under 4.5 Goals58.5%

2-4 Goals50.5%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 4.5 Goals41.5%

Under 3.5 Goals39.1%

3-4 Goals37.6%

1-3 Goals37.1%

2-3 Goals31.1%

Over 5.5 Goals25.0%

Under 2.5 Goals20.9%

1-2 Goals18.9%

Exactly 3 Goals18.2%

Exactly 2 Goals12.8%

Under 1.5 Goals8.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score64.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.4%

Home Clean Sheet35.2%

Home Win to Nil33.8%

Away Clean Sheet4.0%

Away Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Home Over 1.582.5%

Away Over 0.564.2%

Home Over 2.561.8%

Home 3+ Goals61.8%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Away Exactly 035.2%

Away Over 1.527.7%

Home Exactly 220.7%

Away Exactly 219.0%

Home Exactly 112.9%

Away Over 2.58.7%

Away 3+ Goals8.7%

Home Exactly 04.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away87.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)78.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away75.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)61.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home61.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)58.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away58.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)41.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home41.3%

Home to win by 3+41.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)38.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away38.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)24.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home24.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)20.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away20.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.8%

Home to win by 219.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 117.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.8%

Away to win by 15.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.1%

Away to win by 22.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.567.0%

BTTS & Over 2.556.9%

Home & BTTS45.1%

Home & No BTTS33.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.522.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.6%

Home & Under 2.511.9%

Draw & BTTS10.5%

Away & Over 2.56.3%

Draw & Under 2.56.2%

Away & BTTS6.0%

Draw & Over 2.55.8%

BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Away & No BTTS2.6%

Away & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.3%

HT Home Win61.7%

HT/FT Home/Home57.8%

HT Over 1.557.0%

2nd Half More Goals48.1%

HT Under 1.543.0%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score28.5%

HT Draw26.5%

Equal Goals Each Half19.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.6%

HT Under 0.514.7%

HT Away Win11.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.9%

HT/FT Away/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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