England · League Cup

West Ham vs Portsmouth

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

West Ham 62.7% Draw 23.8% Portsmouth 13.5%

Over 2.5 - 51% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 83%

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 12.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.6%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

83%

Market agrees with this pick

West Ham

W L L L W D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Portsmouth

Form 0-1-0 Goals 1:1 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

West Ham win62.7%

Draw23.8%

Portsmouth win13.5%

Over 1.5 goals77.0%

Over 2.5 goals51.4%

Over 3.5 goals29.3%

Both teams to score48.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

85.8%

Home Team to Score

85.5%

Home Over 0.5

85.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.2%

Draw No Bet - Home81.2%

Home or Away (12)78.8%

Home Win64.0%

Both Halves Over 0.555.0%

Goal in Both Halves55.0%

Draw or Away (X2)36.0%

Draw21.2%

Draw No Bet - Away18.8%

Exactly 1 Goal17.8%

Away Win14.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.1%

Over 0.5 Goals93.5%

Under 4.5 Goals85.8%

Over 1.5 Goals75.7%

Under 3.5 Goals70.7%

1-3 Goals64.2%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals48.6%

2-3 Goals46.4%

1-2 Goals42.1%

3-4 Goals37.2%

Over 3.5 Goals29.3%

4+ Goals29.3%

Under 1.5 Goals24.3%

Exactly 2 Goals24.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals14.2%

Under 0.5 Goals6.5%

Exactly 0 Goals6.5%

Over 5.5 Goals5.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.5%

Away Team to Score55.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.1%

Home Clean Sheet44.9%

Home Win to Nil38.4%

Away Clean Sheet14.5%

Away Win to Nil8.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.5%

Home Over 1.557.5%

Away Over 0.555.1%

Away Exactly 044.9%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Home Over 2.530.5%

Home 3+ Goals30.5%

Home Exactly 128.0%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Over 1.519.1%

Home Exactly 014.5%

Away Exactly 214.4%

Away Over 2.54.7%

Away 3+ Goals4.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away80.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)36.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away36.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.1%

Home to win by 125.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.7%

Home to win by 219.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.1%

Home to win by 3+19.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.4%

Away to win by 110.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.4%

Away to win by 23.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.539.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.538.5%

Home & No BTTS38.4%

BTTS & Over 2.537.0%

Home & BTTS25.6%

Home & Under 2.524.7%

Draw & Under 2.516.6%

Draw & BTTS14.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.4%

BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Away & No BTTS8.0%

Away & Over 2.57.5%

Away & Under 2.57.3%

Away & BTTS6.8%

Draw & Over 2.54.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.8%

HT Under 1.565.2%

HT Home Win46.2%

2nd Half More Goals43.6%

HT/FT Home/Home41.4%

HT Draw39.1%

HT Over 1.534.8%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.529.2%

Equal Goals Each Half25.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.9%

HT Both Teams Score17.6%

HT Away Win14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.3%

HT/FT Away/Away7.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

West Ham win50%

Draw50%

Portsmouth win0%

AdviceDouble chance : West Ham or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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