England · Championship

West Ham vs QPR

Kick-off 20:00 · Fri, Oct 9

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

85% confidence

West Ham 85.3% Draw 8.8% QPR 5.9%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

91%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to West Ham: 14 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

West Ham

D W W W W D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 19:7 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 1.17

QPR

D D D L W W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

West Ham win85.3%

Draw8.8%

QPR win5.9%

Over 1.5 goals97.7%

Over 2.5 goals91.3%

Over 3.5 goals80.0%

Both teams to score71.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.8%

Home or Draw (1X)

90.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home93.3%

Home or Draw (1X)90.9%

Home or Away (12)89.0%

Both Halves Over 0.587.6%

Goal in Both Halves87.6%

Home Win83.0%

Draw or Away (X2)13.9%

Draw7.9%

Draw No Bet - Away6.7%

Away Win6.0%

Exactly 1 Goal2.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Over 1.5 Goals94.4%

Over 2.5 Goals88.5%

Over 3.5 Goals77.6%

4+ Goals77.6%

Over 4.5 Goals62.3%

Under 5.5 Goals54.7%

Total Goals Even48.5%

Total Goals Odd48.4%

Over 5.5 Goals45.3%

Under 4.5 Goals37.7%

2-4 Goals32.1%

3-4 Goals26.2%

Under 3.5 Goals22.4%

1-3 Goals19.0%

2-3 Goals16.8%

Under 2.5 Goals11.5%

Exactly 3 Goals10.9%

1-2 Goals8.0%

Exactly 2 Goals5.9%

Under 1.5 Goals5.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score70.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.7%

Home Clean Sheet26.6%

Home Win to Nil26.2%

Away Clean Sheet1.4%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Home Over 1.589.6%

Home Over 2.576.9%

Home 3+ Goals76.9%

Away Over 0.570.3%

Away Over 1.535.9%

Away Exactly 134.4%

Away Exactly 026.6%

Away Exactly 222.2%

Away Over 2.513.7%

Away 3+ Goals13.7%

Home Exactly 212.7%

Home Exactly 15.9%

Home Exactly 01.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)85.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away75.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)70.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home70.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)60.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away60.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)53.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home53.8%

Home to win by 3+53.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)43.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away43.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)36.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home36.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)26.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away26.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home21.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.4%

Home to win by 216.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away13.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.8%

Home to win by 112.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home11.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.9%

Away to win by 13.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.5%

Away to win by 21.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.577.9%

BTTS & Over 2.567.2%

Home & BTTS56.7%

Home & No BTTS26.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.521.3%

Draw & BTTS7.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Draw & Over 2.55.5%

Away & Over 2.55.2%

Home & Under 2.55.1%

Away & BTTS5.0%

Draw & Under 2.52.5%

BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.8%

HT Over 1.571.4%

HT Home Win69.5%

HT/FT Home/Home66.4%

2nd Half More Goals50.6%

HT Both Teams Score37.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.6%

HT Draw20.2%

Equal Goals Each Half16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.9%

HT Away Win10.3%

HT Under 0.58.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Away/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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