England · Championship

West Ham vs Wolves

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Sep 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

West Ham 48.6% Draw 20.9% Wolves 30.5%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Wolves: 11 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

West Ham

D W L D W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 14:7 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Wolves

W W W D W D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 15:5 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 5

West Ham 3wins ·0 draws ·Wolves 2wins

West Ham 4-0 WolvesApr 10, 2026

West Ham 0-3 WolvesJan 3, 2026

West Ham 0-1 WolvesApr 1, 2025

West Ham 2-1 WolvesDec 9, 2024

West Ham 2-1 WolvesApr 6, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

West Ham win48.6%

Draw20.9%

Wolves win30.5%

Over 1.5 goals93.8%

Over 2.5 goals80.7%

Over 3.5 goals62.8%

Both teams to score78.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.3%

Home Team to Score

89.0%

Home Over 0.5

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.6%

Home or Draw (1X)72.1%

Both Halves Over 0.571.9%

Goal in Both Halves71.9%

Draw No Bet - Home65.0%

Home Win51.7%

Draw or Away (X2)48.3%

Draw No Bet - Away35.0%

Away Win27.9%

Draw20.4%

Exactly 1 Goal8.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals89.3%

Under 5.5 Goals81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals73.2%

Under 4.5 Goals66.7%

2-4 Goals56.0%

Over 3.5 Goals52.8%

4+ Goals52.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals47.2%

1-3 Goals45.0%

3-4 Goals39.9%

2-3 Goals36.5%

Over 4.5 Goals33.3%

Under 2.5 Goals26.8%

1-2 Goals24.5%

Exactly 3 Goals20.4%

Over 5.5 Goals18.5%

Exactly 2 Goals16.1%

Under 1.5 Goals10.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals2.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.0%

Away Team to Score79.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)71.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.0%

Home Clean Sheet20.2%

Home Win to Nil18.0%

Away Clean Sheet11.0%

Away Win to Nil8.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.0%

Away Over 0.579.7%

Home Over 1.564.7%

Away Over 1.547.4%

Home Over 2.537.9%

Home 3+ Goals37.9%

Away Exactly 132.3%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 225.8%

Home Exactly 124.2%

Away Over 2.521.6%

Away 3+ Goals21.6%

Away Exactly 020.2%

Home Exactly 011.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)31.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home31.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.5%

Home to win by 120.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.8%

Home to win by 3+15.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.8%

Away to win by 114.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.0%

Away to win by 28.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.0%

Away to win by 3+5.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.563.1%

Home & Over 2.541.4%

Home & BTTS33.7%

Away & Over 2.521.5%

Away & BTTS19.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.9%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

Home & No BTTS18.0%

Home & Under 2.510.3%

Draw & Over 2.510.3%

Draw & Under 2.510.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.0%

Away & No BTTS8.8%

BTTS & Under 2.57.8%

Away & Under 2.56.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.0%

HT Over 1.551.1%

HT Under 1.548.9%

2nd Half More Goals47.0%

HT Home Win40.9%

HT Draw33.4%

HT/FT Home/Home33.1%

HT Both Teams Score32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Away Win25.7%

Equal Goals Each Half20.9%

HT Under 0.518.0%

HT/FT Away/Away16.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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