England · Championship

West Ham vs Wrexham

Kick-off 20:00 · Fri, Sep 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

West Ham 56.5% Draw 23.1% Wrexham 20.4%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to West Ham: 13 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

West Ham

W W W D W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 16:8 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Wrexham

D D W L D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

West Ham win56.5%

Draw23.1%

Wrexham win20.4%

Over 1.5 goals85.9%

Over 2.5 goals65.0%

Over 3.5 goals43.0%

Both teams to score63.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.4%

Home Team to Score

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.3%

Home or Draw (1X)78.3%

Draw No Bet - Home72.7%

Both Halves Over 0.565.5%

Goal in Both Halves65.5%

Home Win57.6%

Draw or Away (X2)42.3%

Draw No Bet - Away27.3%

Away Win21.6%

Draw20.7%

Exactly 1 Goal11.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.4%

Under 5.5 Goals87.8%

Over 1.5 Goals84.7%

Under 4.5 Goals75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals64.9%

2-4 Goals60.1%

Under 3.5 Goals57.1%

1-3 Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.9%

4+ Goals42.9%

2-3 Goals41.7%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.1%

1-2 Goals31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals24.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.7%

Under 1.5 Goals15.3%

Over 5.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 0 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.9%

Away Team to Score70.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.8%

Home Clean Sheet29.2%

Home Win to Nil25.7%

Away Clean Sheet12.1%

Away Win to Nil8.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.9%

Away Over 0.570.7%

Home Over 1.562.4%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Home Over 2.535.4%

Home 3+ Goals35.4%

Away Over 1.534.8%

Away Exactly 029.2%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 125.5%

Away Exactly 222.1%

Away Over 2.512.7%

Away 3+ Goals12.7%

Home Exactly 012.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)64.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away64.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)35.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home35.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.4%

Home to win by 122.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.9%

Home to win by 3+17.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.4%

Home to win by 217.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 113.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.9%

Away to win by 25.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.7%

Away to win by 3+2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.553.0%

Home & Over 2.542.3%

Home & BTTS32.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.9%

Home & No BTTS25.7%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Home & Under 2.515.3%

Away & Over 2.514.6%

Away & BTTS13.1%

Draw & Under 2.512.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.9%

BTTS & Under 2.59.2%

Away & No BTTS8.5%

Draw & Over 2.58.0%

Away & Under 2.57.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.8%

HT Under 1.555.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.7%

HT Over 1.544.4%

HT Home Win43.8%

HT/FT Home/Home37.2%

HT Draw35.5%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score26.1%

Equal Goals Each Half22.5%

HT Under 0.522.2%

HT Away Win20.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.9%

HT/FT Away/Away12.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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