Netherlands · Eredivisie

Willem II vs Cambuur

Full time · 1:6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

36% confidence

Willem II 36.1% Draw 27.7% Cambuur 36.2%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 81%

✓ Pick was correct (1:6)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Cambuur: 1 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Willem II 0 wins, 1 draws, Cambuur 1 wins in the last 2 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.8%

Exact-score model probability

Willem II

L L L L D L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 5:16 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.67

Cambuur

D W D W D L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 2

Willem II 0wins ·1 draws ·Cambuur 1wins

Willem II 1-1 CambuurMay 11, 2022

Willem II 1-3 CambuurDec 10, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Willem II win36.1%

Draw27.7%

Cambuur win36.2%

Over 1.5 goals80.2%

Over 2.5 goals88.4%

Over 3.5 goals33.2%

Both teams to score80.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.9%

HT Over 0.5

86.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.4%

Draw or Away (X2)81.6%

Draw No Bet - Away78.3%

Both Halves Over 0.578.3%

Goal in Both Halves78.3%

Away Win65.2%

Home or Draw (1X)34.5%

Draw No Bet - Home21.7%

Home Win18.1%

Draw16.3%

Exactly 1 Goal5.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals93.0%

Over 2.5 Goals80.9%

Under 5.5 Goals72.7%

Over 3.5 Goals63.4%

4+ Goals63.4%

Under 4.5 Goals55.8%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-4 Goals48.8%

Over 4.5 Goals44.2%

3-4 Goals36.8%

Under 3.5 Goals36.6%

1-3 Goals35.1%

2-3 Goals29.6%

Over 5.5 Goals27.3%

Under 2.5 Goals19.1%

Exactly 3 Goals17.6%

1-2 Goals17.5%

Exactly 2 Goals12.0%

Under 1.5 Goals7.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.0%

Home Team to Score77.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.7%

Away Clean Sheet22.0%

Away Win to Nil20.7%

Home Clean Sheet5.7%

Home Win to Nil4.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.0%

Home Over 0.577.7%

Away Over 1.577.7%

Away Over 2.554.3%

Away 3+ Goals54.3%

Home Over 1.544.5%

Home Exactly 133.2%

Home Exactly 225.1%

Away Exactly 223.4%

Home Exactly 022.0%

Home Over 2.519.4%

Home 3+ Goals19.4%

Away Exactly 116.3%

Away Exactly 05.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home85.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)81.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away81.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)72.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home72.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)65.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)54.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home54.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)45.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away45.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)34.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home34.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)27.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away27.6%

Away to win by 3+27.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.6%

Away to win by 119.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.0%

Away to win by 218.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.3%

Home to win by 110.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home7.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.0%

Home to win by 25.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.8%

Home to win by 3+2.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.8%

Away & Over 2.556.5%

Away & BTTS44.5%

Away & No BTTS20.7%

Draw & BTTS15.1%

Home & Over 2.514.8%

Home & BTTS13.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.1%

Draw & Over 2.59.6%

Away & Under 2.58.8%

Draw & Under 2.56.7%

BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Home & No BTTS4.4%

Home & Under 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.0%

HT Over 1.558.6%

HT Away Win51.2%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT/FT Away/Away44.8%

HT Under 1.541.4%

HT Both Teams Score35.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.1%

HT Home Win19.7%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.0%

HT Under 0.514.0%

HT/FT Home/Home10.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.8%

HT/FT Home/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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