Netherlands · Eredivisie

Willem II vs Heerenveen

Kick-off 13:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Willem II 25.3% Draw 27.3% Heerenveen 47.4%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 89%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

89%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Willem II: 7 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Willem II 0 wins, 1 draws, Heerenveen 3 wins in the last 4 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.8%

Exact-score model probability

Willem II

L L W L D W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:15 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.5

Heerenveen

L D W L D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:9 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 4

Willem II 0wins ·1 draws ·Heerenveen 3wins

Willem II 1-3 HeerenveenApr 4, 2025

Willem II 1-2 HeerenveenDec 8, 2024

Willem II 0-0 HeerenveenMar 5, 2022

Willem II 1-2 HeerenveenNov 21, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Willem II win25.3%

Draw27.3%

Heerenveen win47.4%

Over 1.5 goals77.7%

Over 2.5 goals92.7%

Over 3.5 goals30.1%

Both teams to score89.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.9%

HT Over 0.5

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.2%

Both Halves Over 0.580.7%

Goal in Both Halves80.7%

Draw or Away (X2)68.3%

Draw No Bet - Away61.2%

Home or Draw (1X)50.2%

Away Win49.7%

Draw No Bet - Home38.8%

Home Win31.5%

Draw18.6%

Exactly 1 Goal4.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals94.4%

Over 2.5 Goals83.9%

Under 5.5 Goals68.1%

Over 3.5 Goals67.8%

4+ Goals67.8%

Under 4.5 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals49.2%

2-4 Goals45.2%

3-4 Goals34.8%

Under 3.5 Goals32.2%

Over 5.5 Goals31.9%

1-3 Goals31.0%

2-3 Goals26.5%

Under 2.5 Goals16.1%

Exactly 3 Goals16.1%

1-2 Goals14.9%

Exactly 2 Goals10.4%

Under 1.5 Goals5.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.2%

Home Team to Score87.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.5%

Away Clean Sheet12.7%

Away Win to Nil11.7%

Home Clean Sheet7.6%

Home Win to Nil6.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.2%

Home Over 0.587.1%

Away Over 1.572.6%

Home Over 1.560.9%

Away Over 2.547.3%

Away 3+ Goals47.3%

Home Over 2.533.9%

Home 3+ Goals33.9%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 126.2%

Away Exactly 225.3%

Away Exactly 119.6%

Home Exactly 012.7%

Away Exactly 07.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home82.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)68.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home68.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)68.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away68.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)50.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home50.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)49.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)31.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)31.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away31.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 118.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)16.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away16.9%

Away to win by 3+16.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 114.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.3%

Away to win by 214.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.2%

Home to win by 29.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.6%

Home to win by 3+7.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.575.3%

Away & Over 2.544.0%

Away & BTTS37.9%

Home & Over 2.527.5%

Home & BTTS24.9%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Draw & Over 2.512.5%

Away & No BTTS11.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

Home & No BTTS6.7%

Draw & Under 2.56.1%

Away & Under 2.55.7%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Home & Under 2.54.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.6%

HT Over 1.561.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Both Teams Score41.5%

HT Away Win41.0%

HT Under 1.538.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT/FT Away/Away32.3%

HT Draw29.8%

HT Home Win29.2%

HT/FT Home/Home19.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.9%

HT Under 0.512.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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